Best career win rate in the field at 1 in 4 races and second choice at 4.5, but recent form is concerning—no wins in her last six runs, with a fall at Punchestown 103 days ago followed by a fourth at Bellewstown and a second at Galway just 14 days back. She runs again after a 14-day gap, but the momentum has stalled.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 6lbs and the market favourite at 3.75, she just landed a Class 1 win at Kempton Park days ago—the genuine headline of this race. However, the warning sign sits in her recent record: she won't beat good ground here and has zero wins across soft, good-to-yielding, and yielding surfaces, and her last three runs show a 12th at Galway before that.
Won 2 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (50% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Genuine operator with 4 wins from 18 races (22% win rate) and a perfect 50% win rate on good ground—he has won 3 of 6 on that surface. He comes off two recent wins at Kilbeggan and Ballinrobe and runs well fresh, but he cannot handle good-to-yielding turf (0 wins from 5) and normal ground today sits between his two comfort zones.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Least experienced horse in the field with just 10 career races, but a 20% win rate shows she has ability. The problem is timing: her recent form is poor (6-7-6 in her last three), she cannot win on good ground (0 from 4), and normal conditions today offer little encouragement.
M. K M Ryan(7)
·
T. Mullins
· 6yo
· 10st 9lb
· OR 74
FormTrack
8.0
Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
One of the few course winners here with a Tramore victory in September 2024, and she ran a near-miss second at this track just 37 days ago, beaten by less than a length. The downside: she wins at just 4% overall and cannot handle any ground softer than firm, nor does she run well on galloping tracks—both risks worth noting.
M. Pandora Briselden(7)
·
H. De Bromhead
· 7yo
· 10st 9lb
HeadgearFreshness
8.0
Wearing tongue strapQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (29% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Solid operator with a 19% win rate and two wins at this exact distance, but she is running again after just 6 days rest and her last outing was a fall at Wexford 44 days ago followed by a third at the same track only 6 days ago. Fast turnarounds can favour sharp horses, but her recent stumble is a worry.
Best record at this trip (2 from 9)Runs again after just 6 days
Outsider at 17.0 with just one win in 11 races, but she ran second at Cork only 10 days ago, proving she can get close. The problem is consistency: she cannot win on good ground (0 from 4) and her sole career victory came on good-to-yielding turf, a surface that does not fit today's normal conditions.
Wearing blinkersQuick turnaroundWon 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (50% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Just won at Wexford 6 days ago and has an exceptional record on normal ground—2 wins from 4 races on that exact surface, a 50% win rate that stands out in this field. The elephant in the room: she crashed to 18th at Galway only 9 days before that win, so form is volatile, but her recent victory and ideal surface conditions make her dangerous.
Only one race under her belt and nothing to judge yet—she finished 4th at this track just 37 days ago and is freshest in the field. Data is too thin to predict anything, but the bare fact is she has a course run to build on.
Fresh (97 days off)Won 1 of last 5Loves this ground (50% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Best on-ground record in the field with 2 wins from 4 races on normal conditions—exactly what is in front of her today. The catch is her 97-day absence is the longest layoff in the field; her last confirmed outing was a fall at Fairyhouse 257 days ago, and stable records for her since are patchy, making ring-rust a genuine concern.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)Absent 97 days (longest in field)
M. M Kelly(7)
·
S. J Harty
· 9yo
· 11st 0lb
· OR 52
Form
0.4
Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Nine-year-old with zero wins from 19 races—a grim record that shows he operates at the very bottom of competitive racing. Recent form offers a flicker of hope: placed in 2 of his last 3 runs, most recently 4th at Limerick, but his 18th-place finish at Galway just 15 days ago tells you the wins are not coming back.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.