Market favourite at 5.6 despite recent inconsistency, but the numbers support the money: he wins roughly 1 in 3 races on good ground (this track is normal) and has been placed in five of his last six starts. Second place by a nose at Leicester just 16 days ago shows he's competitive right now, though his sole career win came two months ago and hasn't been repeated since.
Three straight second-place finishes (last two by tiny margins of 1.2L and 0.3L) make him the closest thing to a waiting winner in this field—but he's still looking for that first victory after seven races. The danger is that pattern of near-misses can become a trap; the jockey-trainer pairing is new together, which adds an extra unknown to an already tricky profile.
Editorial pick but don't expect fireworks: he's winless from seven races with just one place and hasn't won a race yet, unlike most of the field. His recent form is weak (7-6-5-6 trend) and he was last raced 48 days ago, making him the least active horse in the race—no momentum here despite the tipster's optimism about trajectory.
Never raced on normal ground before, making this her first real test on these conditions—a huge unknown at this stage of her career. Six races winless but four placed finishes suggest she's honest and competitive, yet the recent form (sixth and seventh) is deteriorating just as she faces unfamiliar terrain.
Only horse with two wins from 15 races (13% win rate) and has a confirmed sweet spot at 7f–1m distances where she wins roughly 1 in 4 times—perfect for this race at six furlongs. However, she's never won on good-to-firm ground and struggles on right-handed sharp tracks; if Thirsk's turning radius is tight for her, that's a real problem.
Second-highest rated in the field but this is actually a weakness here: she's never won on left-handed galloping tracks and Thirsk is exactly that. She was here 22 days ago and finished fifth, so no course advantage, though a 10% win rate from ten races and three placed finishes show she's consistent rather than exceptional.
Has the best record at six furlongs (1 win from 3 races at this distance), and his career win rate of 12% is solid for a three-year-old still learning. Recent form shows he was third at Ripon just 32 days ago, but he's also never won on good-to-firm ground and this track can ride firm—a potential problem if the going is fast.
Winless from eight races and was at this track just 14 days ago, finishing seventh—no improvement visible and the jockey-trainer partnership (0 wins from 18 together) offers no encouragement. A 15.0 outsider for good reason: she's competitive enough to place occasionally but hasn't come close to winning.
Carries the lightest weight in the field and boasts the best career win rate at 14% (1 in 7), plus he has a strong record on standard ground (1 win from 4 starts). The catch: he's never raced on normal ground before, making this a real test, and his last outing 21 days ago saw him finish fifth well beaten—no current form to build on.
Carries lowest weight in fieldNever raced on normal groundBest career win rate in field (1 in 7)
Winless from eight races and the recent form is a mess: 12th place at Doncaster, 6th at Wolverhampton, with just one placed finish (third) in the last six outings. At 21.0 odds and carrying just 124lbs she's a long shot, and rightly so—hasn't raced in 31 days and shows no sign of a breakthrough.
Lowest-rated horse by 6lbs, winless and placeless from five races, yet has never raced on normal ground before—an unknown factor that makes predicting his run impossible. Just 15 days ago he finished seventh, and the pattern across his five outings is a hopeless bounce between fourth and seventh place with zero indication of improvement.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below averageNever raced on normal ground
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.