Top-rated by 3lbs and fresh off a win at Ayr just 11 days ago, this filly has shown she can deliver when it counts — winning roughly 1 in 4 races. The step up to seven furlongs on normal ground is untested territory for her, but the market still backs her as favourite at 2.88, suggesting confidence in her ability to handle the rise in distance and conditions.
Top rated by 3lbsNever raced on normal groundMarket favourite (2.88)
This is the most credible threat — only 11lbs below the favourite on ratings and she won at Musselburgh just 7 days ago, showing real momentum and sharp form. The worry is her record on fast, dry ground: 0 wins from 3 starts on that surface, and today's normal conditions are her untested territory as well.
Lightly raced with just 2 career outings, this filly ran second at Thirsk 14 days ago — proving she can handle both the course and the class, which matters in a small field like this. She's never raced on normal ground before, but her recent second place at this track suggests she has genuine ability to be competitive today.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (2 career races)
The lowest-rated runner in the field by 16lbs and carrying the lightest weight, this filly has posted consecutive thirds at Thirsk and Pontefract but inconsistent form before that (7th, 9th) tells you she's unreliable. Never having won from 5 races, she looks the weakest proposition here despite her recent placings.
Lowest rated, 16lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
Three races, no wins, no places, and a tenth-place finish at Redcar just 19 days ago tells you she's struggling to find her feet. At 21.0 odds and carrying the lowest standard of form in this field, she looks well out of her depth against rivals with far better records.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (3 career races)
Five races without a win, with recent form reading 5-8-5, shows this filly is treading water and hasn't improved in weeks. Paired with a jockey for the first time today and rated 6lbs below average for the field, she's a 21.0 outsider for good reason.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.