Newmarket (July)
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Buntingford Apprentice Handicap Stakes
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
Free World is the market favourite after breaking his duck at Catterick just 10 days ago, and he does have a 33% win rate on good-to-firm ground from his limited races. But one win from seven starts is a weak record, and stepping into a competitive handicap this quickly after a maiden breakthrough is ambitious for a horse that's failed to fire in previous attempts.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Market favourite (2.56)
TrackLab Insight
An Bradan Feasa is the form horse, with three straight second and third-place finishes including a near-miss by 0.3L just 13 days ago—he's clearly sharp. He wins at 36% over 2m or further (5 from 14 races), but fast ground is a concern given he has zero wins from 7 starts on good-to-firm and standard-to-slow conditions combined.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Rogue Empire wins roughly 1 in every 3 races—the best win rate in this field—and loves fast, dry ground where he's won 2 of 3 starts. His recent ninth at York looks like a blip given he won at Kempton and Lingfield in the 65 days before that, and he's ideally suited to the 2m distance on good ground.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
TrackLab Insight
The Craftymaster is the lowest-rated runner but carries the least weight and boasts three straight wins or placings, with a solid 24% win rate. The problem is fatal: he's never won on good ground or standard-to-slow conditions, making today's dry Newmarket surface a terrible fit despite his Lingfield expertise.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
3 straight top-3 finishes
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Laravie matches Rogue Empire's win rate at 1 in every 4 races and excels on good ground with 6 wins from 12 starts (50%)—ideal conditions for today. However, she's stepping up two classes and has won only twice in her last six races, suggesting she's been struggling at higher levels.
Steps up 2 classes
TrackLab Insight
Tarbat Ness is a ground-dependent horse with a real problem here: he wins 1 in 3 on soft ground but has never won on good-to-firm conditions. Running on dry ground at Newmarket plays directly into his weaknesses, making him a risky proposition despite three consecutive top-3 finishes and a strong record at 2m.
Best record at this trip (5 from 19)
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Mio Amico is the weakest link here: he hasn't raced in 94 days (longest absence in the field), wins only 1 in 7 races overall, and has never won on good-to-firm ground. At just four years old with limited experience, he's stepping into deep water against more battle-hardened rivals.
Absent 94 days (longest in field)
Your pick
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Odds
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Win (they finish 1st)
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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