Quick turnaroundWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick makes sense on the progression angle: he's the only runner with a proven dry-ground record (1 win from 3), just came off a recent race nine days ago to keep sharp, and wins roughly 1 in 4 times at this distance. A step up from his last run, but the form curve points upward.
A. Lewis(3)
·
J. Fanshawe
· 3yo
· 8st 10lb
· OR 77
Form
23
Good Value
Won 2 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 3.25 with the best record in the race — 2 wins from 4 starts (50% win rate) — and arrives fresh from two consecutive victories. The lowest weight in the field and an undeniable upward trajectory, though he's unproven at this level and raced just four times total.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated and equipped with a jockey-trainer team that clicks (3 wins from 13 together), but recent runs have been grim — 13th at Newmarket just 30 days ago was a backward step. His usual 7f-to-1m sweet spot should suit, yet he needs to arrest a downward slide.
Wearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 2 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The field's best pure win rate at 1 in every 4 races, with genuine momentum from a Wolverhampton win 22 days ago. The Goodwood flop nine days ago was a step back, but his overall trajectory and the backing of a Gosden stable suggest he's a genuine threat at longer odds.
Top-rated horse in the field by 4lbs, but that rating comes with serious caveats: he hasn't raced in nearly a year and has never seen dry ground like this. With just three career races and unclear recent form, he's gambling with his fitness and track rust at exactly the wrong time.
Top rated by 4lbsNever raced on dry groundLightly raced (3 career races)Absent 343 days (longest in field)
Quick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Matched with Runswick at the ratings, but his recent record is alarming — 16th and 25th in his last two runs suggest he's lost his way. His single win came 13 months ago and he hasn't recaptured that form, making him a hard sell despite theoretically suiting dry ground.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The only proven mile winner here, but that single success is misleading — he's won just once from 11 races and has shown he struggles on good ground like today's conditions. His record of near-misses (five places without wins) smells like a horse trying hard but coming up just short.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.