Newcastle
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Hays Travel: Nobody Offers You More Handicap
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Tapeta surface
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in the field by 3lbs and the market favourite, though the odds have drifted sharply from where they opened — a sign that punters have cooled on it. Its trainer has been firing in winners at a strong clip lately, winning 8 from 32 races in the past two weeks. It won here at Newcastle 41 days ago, so the course is no concern, but a 4th-place finish last time out will need explaining.
Top rated by 3lbs
Trainer in best form (8 from 32 last 2wk)
Market favourite (2.42)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The race-day editorial tips this horse as the one to beat, and the reasoning is straightforward: 7 furlongs is its best trip, and it has finished second in two of its last three races before a poor run at Doncaster. It wins roughly 1 in 5 races on soft or wet ground but has never won on fast ground, so normal conditions here are fine — it just needs to bounce back from that Doncaster flop.
2nd highest rated (OR 79)
TrackLab Insight
One of only three course winners in the field and very much in form, finishing 2nd and 3rd in its last two races here at Newcastle just 11 and 50 days ago. The editorial flags a concern though: this horse may need a strong pace to run at, and if the race is run at a steady tempo it might not get the chance to finish off its rivals. The jockey and trainer have yet to win together from 17 attempts, which is also worth noting.
One of few course winners (3 wins here)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The course specialist of the field — all four of its career wins have come right here at Newcastle, winning roughly 1 in 3 races at this track. The problem is its last run was an 11th-place finish here just 35 days ago, which is hard to ignore after what had been three straight top-3 finishes. Normal conditions suit it well, but it blows hot and cold.
Course specialist (4 wins from 13 here)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
On paper, this horse has the strongest case of anyone in the field: the best career win rate (roughly 1 in 3 races), six wins from 13 visits to Newcastle, and the best record in the field on normal ground at exactly this distance. The catch is brutal — its last two runs here produced 9th and 7th-place finishes, beaten well over 7 lengths each time. Hard to know which version shows up today.
Course specialist (6 wins from 13 here)
Best record on this ground (5 from 12)
Best record at this trip (6 from 13)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
TrackLab Insight
Rated 6lbs below the field average and among the longer-priced runners in the race, Rich Rhythm has a decent record on normal ground — winning 2 from 8 races in those conditions — but its last outing here at Newcastle 35 days ago was an 8th-place finish. There's not much in the recent form to suggest a reversal today, and the data doesn't offer a strong angle in its favour.
Mid-range in the market (17.0)
TrackLab Insight
This horse hasn't raced in 97 days — the longest absence in the field — and its two most recent runs before today were both 11th-place finishes, so it arrives here badly out of form. It has won at Newcastle and performs best over 7 furlongs to a mile on fast, dry ground, so conditions aren't the issue. With blinkers on and a jockey who has been riding well lately, it needs everything to click after a long time away.
Absent 97 days (longest in field)
Jockey in best form (3 from 33 last 2wk)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 29 races under its belt, but its best form has come over longer distances of a mile and beyond — 7 furlongs here may be on the short side. It has never won on normal ground in four attempts, and recent runs of 6th, 8th and 11th don't inspire confidence. Its trainer has drawn a blank in the last two weeks from nine attempts.
Among the more experienced (29 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field, sitting 10lbs below the field average — a significant gap that makes winning extremely tough in a race like this. Its best form comes on wet, muddy ground where it wins 1 in 3 races, but today's normal conditions at Newcastle are where it has never managed a win across eight attempts. Two poor runs of 9th and 11th in recent outings make it hard to make a case here.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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