Newbury

Only four points behind Coat Of Red on the ratings with an identical 50% win rate, and crucially just won at Ascot 21 days ago — more recent form than most rivals. The Charlie Appleby yard runs this horse frequently, and William Buick is an elite jockey, making this a serious threat if Coat Of Red underperforms.

The clear favourite on ratings with a genuine win already banked at Leicester just 16 days ago, making this horse the most proven runner in the field at just two races. The narrow drift in odds (from 1.1 to 11.0) reflects some market caution, but a 50% win rate and the low draw (1) give this horse genuine credentials on fast ground over six furlongs.

Perfect from one outing: a winner on debut at Windsor 32 days ago with world-class jockey Oisin Murphy in the saddle. The danger here is the lack of recent racing (five weeks between runs) and the high draw (6), but an unbeaten record deserves respect in a competitive field.

Rated highest on official figures (81) but with just one race and a fourth-place finish to show for it, this horse has potential but lacks proof. A debut fourth is respectable rather than impressive, and the 20-day break suggests the yard may still be figuring out what this filly can do.