Navan
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Round O Handicap
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in the field by 6lbs, which means the handicapper thinks he's clearly better than everything else here on paper. The concern is that he finished fourth at Naas just 19 days ago and hasn't been convincing recently, so the rating advantage needs to show up on the track rather than just on the page.
Top rated by 6lbs
TrackLab Insight
Only five career races in total, making him one of the least experienced horses in this field, but he has finished in the top three four times from those five outings — a level of consistency that is hard to ignore for such a young horse. He races again just seven days after finishing fifth at Naas, which will tell the trainer a lot about how quickly he bounces back.
Runs again after just 7 days
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 5/1, and a narrow second at Dundalk 64 days ago shows he is running well enough to be competitive. He has a decent record on normal ground — his only career win came on it — but he has never won on a right-handed track and Navan runs the opposite way, which is worth keeping in mind.
Market favourite (5.0)
TrackLab Insight
The best win rate in this field — winning roughly 1 in every 4 races — but that record is built almost entirely at Dundalk, an indoor all-weather track, and today's normal ground at Navan is a completely different surface she has never won on in five attempts. She's also been off for seven months, and the jockey has never ridden for this trainer before. Plenty of questions to answer before trusting that career record.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by 12lbs, and the lightest weight as a result — that weight allowance is his biggest practical advantage today. He has won over this course and distance before, and has finished second, making him one of only two horses in the field who have actually won here at 5f; three straight top-three finishes coming in adds further encouragement, even if the rating gap is a real concern.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Has won over this course and distance
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict singles him out as the one to watch, suggesting his eighth-place finish at Naas last week was misleading due to a poor draw, and that the handicapper is giving him a fair weight here. The catch is that his best form comes on wet or muddy ground, and today's normal conditions are ones he has never won on in five attempts — so the case for him rests heavily on that Naas run being better than it looked.
Runs again after just 7 days
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
An eight-year-old returning after seven months off, and his last three runs before that break were ninth, eleventh, and seventh — not the form of a horse ready to turn things around. He has never won at Navan in seven attempts, and normal ground is not his friend either, with zero wins from four races on it.
Absent 217 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
The standout condition angle here: Nezeeh has won over this exact course and distance at Navan and has the best record in the field on normal ground, winning 4 from 12 races on it — a genuinely strong match for today's conditions. The problem is recent form has fallen off a cliff, finishing 12th and 9th in his last two runs, so he needs to rediscover something he has clearly lost for now.
Has won over this course and distance
Best record on this ground (4 from 12)
Best record at this trip (3 from 10)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 50 races to the field average of 22 — but experience alone does not win races, and his record on normal ground and left-handed sharp tracks is poor. A distant tenth at the Curragh last time out, though he was second the run before that, so there is some residual ability worth watching.
Most experienced (50 runs, field avg 22)
TrackLab Insight
She won her last race before this seven-month break, which gives her yard something to build on, but the conditions today are a real problem — zero wins from eight races on normal ground and zero wins from 11 races on left-handed tracks like this one. A lot has to go right for a horse returning from that long an absence against those stats.
Mid-range in the market (7.5)
TrackLab Insight
A 19/1 outsider with just one win from 11 races, and the data does him no favours here — he has never won on normal ground in five attempts, and this left-handed course type is one where he has failed to win in nine career tries. The narrow third at Dundalk 57 days ago shows he can be competitive, but the conditions today stack against him.
Outsider at 19.0
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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