Naas
·
Declan Landy Fencing Handicap (Premier Handicap)
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The market has made this horse the clear favourite at 4.75, and the editorial selection despite the potential headache of stall 13 — a mid-to-high draw that the stats suggest is a disadvantage here. Like Pass Me If You Can, he has only ever raced on artificial surfaces, so today's turf on normal ground is an unknown, but the fact that he won last time out at Dundalk just 38 days ago means he arrives in form and race-ready. Jockey Colin Keane and trainer G M Lyons have combined for 199 winners together, which adds further confidence behind this pick.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Market favourite (4.75)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field — wins roughly 1 in every 3 races — and his strongest record is at this exact trip, with 2 wins from 5 races over 6 furlongs. The concern is that he hasn't raced for 176 days, the longest absence of any horse here, so there are real questions about whether he'll be sharp enough first time back. A low draw of 3 helps, given this course favours horses drawn on the lower side.
Best record at this trip (2 from 5)
Absent 176 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Crucially, he is the only horse in this field to have already won over this exact course and distance at Naas over 6 furlongs, which is a significant edge in a competitive 15-runner field. He backed that up with a second-place finish at Cork 35 days ago, so he arrives in solid current form and has proven he handles today's trip well. Draw 4 is nicely positioned on the low side, where the stats say horses tend to win from.
Has won over this course and distance
TrackLab Insight
Sits in stall 2, one of the most favoured draws on this track, and jockey Chris Hayes is the most in-form rider here with 2 winners from 11 rides in the last fortnight. The worry is that his last run was a 6th, beaten over 8 lengths at Cork, which was a significant drop in performance after winning at Navan. Like several rivals, he has never raced on normal turf ground before, so today is an unknown.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Jockey in best form (2 from 11 last 2wk)
TrackLab Insight
Won his last race at Dundalk in December, but hasn't been seen since — a 148-day absence that makes him one of the rustier horses in the field returning from a long break. All three of his career races have been on artificial surfaces, so today's turf in normal conditions is completely uncharted territory. The jockey-trainer combination here has yet to win together from 8 races, which doesn't inspire extra confidence.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Comes here in the sharpest form of any runner — a win at Dundalk just 16 days ago, preceded by a second place the run before that — and her trainer Mrs John Harrington has hit 2 winners from 20 runners in the last fortnight, the best current stable form in this field. The flip side is that all her racing has been on artificial surfaces, and today's turf is a new question to answer. Draw 10 is mid-field, which the stats suggest is slightly less favourable than the low draws.
Trainer in best form (2 from 20 last 2wk)
TrackLab Insight
She has raced on normal ground three times before without winning once, which is a straightforward concern on a day when that's exactly what she faces. Her recent form reads as patchy too — a 12th at the Curragh followed by a 5th at Gowran Park, and the jockey-trainer combination here has yet to win together from 9 attempts. Hard to make a case for her at 8.5 with those flags.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Has the best draw in the field at stall 1, which matters at Naas over 6 furlongs where low draws hold a clear statistical edge. The big unknown is ground: all three of his races have been on artificial surfaces at Dundalk, so today's normal turf conditions are completely new territory. With only 3 career races to his name, he's one of the least experienced horses in this 15-runner field.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Also trained by Gavin Cromwell, whose yard has had a very quiet fortnight, and this horse also ran at Naas 12 days ago with a result not yet available — so the two Cromwell runners here share the same information gap. His last two known finishes were both 7th place, and his official rating of 76 is the second lowest in the field, sitting 6 below average. The high draw of 14 is another hurdle in a race where low numbers have the statistical edge.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Her rating of 77 is 5 below the field average, making her one of the lower-rated horses in this field, and trainer Gavin Cromwell has drawn a blank from 31 runners in the last two weeks — the worst current form of any stable represented here. She raced at Naas just 12 days ago but that result isn't yet available, so it's hard to assess how she's going into this. The hood is a change in headgear worth noting, but there are too many unknowns to get excited.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 9 career races, but his last run was a thumping 8th, beaten over 15 lengths at Cork just 35 days ago — a sharp step backwards after a run of decent form. His record on the two extremes of ground — wet or dry — is worrying: no wins from 3 races on either, with his two victories coming only on softer yielding ground rather than today's normal conditions. Cheekpieces go on for the first time, which sometimes signals a trainer trying to spark a reaction.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Like Chicago Pope, she has already won over this exact course and distance at Naas, which makes her one of only two horses in the field who genuinely know what it takes to win here. She also has the best record on today's ground conditions, with 1 win from 3 races on normal turf — and she races again after just 6 days, so she is clearly fit and ready. The result from that Cork run 6 days ago isn't yet available in the data, which leaves a small question mark over how that went.
Has won over this course and distance
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Runs again after just 6 days
TrackLab Insight
Has placed in three of his four career races, showing solid consistency, but his last two finishes have both been thirds — suggesting he gets close without quite delivering. He has never raced on normal turf before, and today's jockey-trainer pairing is a first-time combination, which means there's less established understanding than some rivals here. Cheekpieces are fitted, but at a rating 2 below the field average, he has something to prove against the better-rated horses.
Never raced on normal ground
TrackLab Insight
Six career races and still no wins — she is one of only two horses in the field yet to visit the winner's enclosure, along with JP's Express. Her last run was a 9th at Cork, beaten nearly 12 lengths, which followed a run of moderate finishes going back several months. At 29.0, the market has a clear view of her chances here, and the data does little to argue against it.
Outsider at 29.0
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by some distance — 8 below the field average — and the only horse alongside White Smoke with no wins and no placed finishes from any of his three career races. His form reads 6th, 6th, 5th, and he has never raced on normal turf before, adding yet another unknown. The highest draw in the field at stall 15 compounds an already difficult task.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Your pick
—
—
What you'd get back
—
Odds
—
Bet type
Win (they finish 1st)
How much do you want to bet?
Your bet
£5
Your profit if they win
—
Total back in your pocket
—
How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
Paid out by the bookmaker, not TrackLab.
Choose your bookmaker