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Market Rasen

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Jumps race · solid fences · weighted to be fair About 2.7 miles Ideal conditions Entry-level race 8 runners £3829 prize
Turf track
TrackLab's Top Pick
32
Strong chance
Good Value at 61/50
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
20+ Strong pick 12-19 Solid chance 6-11 In the mix Below 6 Outsider How scores work
J. Andrews · T. Ellis · 7yo · 11st 6lb · OR 92
Headgear Form
32
Good Value
Wearing tongue strap Won 2 of last 5 Won here 1 time Loves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite (3.5) with genuine substance: he won here just 41 days ago and has strung together three consecutive top-3 finishes, posting a career win rate of roughly 1 in 6 — the best in the field. The only real concern is a blank record on left-handed galloping tracks, and Market Rasen fits that profile, so don't let the recent form fool you completely.
3 straight top-3 finishes Best career win rate in field (1 in 6) Market favourite (3.5)
3 Ribeye
D. McMenamin · P. Atkinson · 11yo · 11st 10lb · OR 96
Form Track
18
Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced in the field with 45 races under his belt, the 11-year-old ran respectably here just 41 days ago (4th, only 6.5L behind) and has form on good-to-soft ground where he wins roughly 1 in 4. However, recent efforts have been inconsistent and he pulled up at Hexham three months back, raising durability questions for a 2m 6f slog.
Most experienced (45 runs, field avg 26)
J. Hamilton · M. Walford · 9yo · 11st 0lb · OR 86
Headgear Form
17
Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Second at this course just 28 days ago (only 1.5L down) and one of only three horses in the field with multiple career wins, he has a solid record on the normal ground conditions today. At 3.75, he offers decent value against the favourite, though his soft-ground record is a blank (0 from 10) and the run before his recent second was a poor 9th at Hexham.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
J. Bowen · M. Bowen · 6yo · 11st 5lb · OR 91
Headgear Freshness
13
Wearing tongue strap Fresh (340 days off) Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the field — 340 days — makes this return a genuine gamble, though he was only narrowly beaten when last seen (0.3L second at Newton Abbot). His career win rate of 1 in 20 screams inconsistency, and horses returning from six-month breaks at age 6 need to prove they still want it; the jury is firmly out.
Absent 340 days (longest in field)
C. O'Farrell · J. Bedi · 7yo · 10st 11lb · OR 83
Headgear Freshness
12.5
Wearing cheekpieces Fresh (82 days off) Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Only horse in the field with a win at this exact distance (1 from 3 starts) and won just 22 days ago at Huntingdon, but immediately bombed out at Uttoxeter (6th, beaten 25.8L) in his next race. The real problem: zero wins from 13 starts on good ground, and today's normal conditions are too firm for his profile, making recent form unreliable.
Only winner at this distance Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
J. Williamson · P. Kirby · 7yo · 12st 0lb · OR 100
Headgear Form
11.0
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Top rated by 3lbs but the odds have blown out from 1.1 to 6.5, a telling sign the market has spotted something the figures missed. Recent form is patchy — just one win in 14 races — and two heavy defeats in the last month raise questions about whether he's still got it on normal ground, despite a strong record on fast surfaces. Market drift this steep usually means something.
Top rated by 3lbs
C. Johnstone-Baker(7) · S. Davies · 9yo · 11st 11lb · OR 97
Headgear Form
6.4
Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Loves this ground (27% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick sits unfancied at 19.0 despite carrying a top rating and boasting the best record on this ground (3 wins from 11 starts). The glaring problem: three straight fifth or sixth-place finishes at Uttoxeter suggest he's in poor form right now, and that drift from 1.1 to 19.0 reflects genuine concern about his readiness. The form is simply too shabby to back him on the numbers alone.
Best record on this ground (3 from 11) Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
J. Best · M. Chapman · 9yo · 10st 2lb · OR 64
Form Track
1.6
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Rated 24lbs below the field average and carries the lowest weight, but that tells you everything: he's a 9-year-old with just 1 win from 43 races (roughly 1 in 43) and a horrific record on good ground (0 from 22 starts). Two blanks at this course in 16 attempts and heavy defeats in his last three outings make this a 56.0 shot for a reason.
Lowest rated, 24lbs below average Carries lowest weight in field
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