Lingfield
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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes
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Polytrack surface
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
Madame De Sevigne sits near the top of the weights but is drifting in the market and her recent form is alarming — a 57-length beat at York just 28 days ago suggests something is amiss. Her 8% career win rate is among the poorest in the field, and she has no form on standard ground, which makes her difficult to fancy here.
Among the more experienced (26 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Lady Manzor is one of only two course winners in the field (2 wins at Lingfield) and boasts the strongest win rate in this group at 18% from 17 races — roughly 1 in every 6. She's ideal over this distance (27% win rate at 7f-1m) and on standard ground (29% win rate), though a 73-day layoff means she's had time away from the track.
One of few course winners (2 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
Dannick is the only horse in the field with a recent win at this exact course, taking victory here just 40 days ago — a huge advantage at Lingfield. He's thriving on standard ground (20% win rate) and runs well fresh, but his form on softer surfaces is a blank slate, which could be a concern if conditions deteriorate.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
Timely Affair carries the lowest weight in the field (6lbs below average) and has the strongest form on this exact ground: 3 wins from 6 starts on standard conditions (50% win rate). His last run was a win at Southwell 30 days ago, and his 25% career win rate across 12 races is among the best here — a genuine threat despite the rating.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Best record on this ground (3 from 6)
Best record at this trip (1 from 6)
TrackLab Insight
Moon Beginnings is among the least experienced runners here (just 10 career races) and his form is incoherent — one solitary win at Chester mixed with failures everywhere else. His three most recent efforts include a 26-length beating at Chester, suggesting he's struggling to find the right race and isn't equipped for this level.
Relatively inexperienced (10 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Daring Legend is on a genuinely upward curve: his form shows a marked improvement in mid-season (a 2nd and 5th) before recent outings at top-level tracks saw him struggle out of his depth. Back at this modest level over a distance that suits him, he's won roughly 1 in 8 races across his career and places more often than most — a horse ready to bounce back.
2nd highest rated (OR 74)
TrackLab Insight
Mollie Foster's rating suggests a decent chance, but her market drift to 28.0 tells the real story — she's struggling right now after three straight sixth-place finishes. She does have form on standard ground (33% win rate) and at the 1m distance suits her, but recent evidence suggests she's not quite finding the frame at the moment.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
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