Lingfield

The top-rated horse in the race by 4lbs, which on paper gives her a clear advantage over her rivals — but she's dropping three levels of competition from where she usually runs, which raises a question about whether something has gone wrong. She was beaten nearly 25 lengths last time out and hasn't raced in over seven months, so while Ryan Moore and a big reputation make her interesting, the drift in the betting from 3.0 to 4.4 is a warning sign worth heeding.

She was narrowly beaten in a top-level race at Ascot last time out, which is the best piece of recent form in this field — but that was over seven months ago and she's never won on the dry ground expected today from five attempts. The market has warmed to her, shortening from 5.0 to 4.0, yet that ground record is a genuine concern that's hard to ignore.

The most experienced horse in the field by some distance with 29 races under her belt — more than double the field average — and she arrives race-fit having won just 11 days ago at Yarmouth. The catch is that her form before that win was a string of poor finishes, and moving from that level up to a Group 3 race is a significant step up in class.

Making her racecourse debut today, which means there is genuinely no form to judge her on — she is a complete unknown. Jockey Tom Marquand has been in good form recently, winning 5 from 22 in the last two weeks, but asking a first-time runner to take on experienced rivals in a Group 3 race worth over £56,000 is a very tall order.