Leopardstown

The most experienced horse in the race with 20 outings under her belt, Akecheta brings a wealth of know-how but has only won 1 in every 10 races. She has a decent record on wet and muddy ground but today's normal conditions are where she struggles most — zero wins from five attempts on a surface like this. A 7/1 shot that drifted sharply from a much shorter opening price, suggesting the market has cooled significantly on her chances.

The editorial verdict for this race is built around Diamond Exchange — the thinking is that better ground compared to her last run here can unlock another step forward from a horse who finished third at Leopardstown 25 days ago. She arrives as the second favourite, races in cheekpieces for extra focus, and has a trainer who has been in fine form recently. The one flag is that she has zero wins from three attempts on normal ground, so the confidence in her is based on hope for improvement rather than a proven record on this surface.

Seven races into his career and still without a win, Kilcrea Rock is the joint-lowest rated horse in the field alongside Spanish Rising. He does have two placed finishes to his name and drew closest to the leaders last time out with a third at the Curragh — but that was six months ago, and he's been off the track since. The high draw in stall 13 is also a disadvantage at this course and distance, where horses drawn low have a significant edge.

Ob La Di has the worst recent form of anyone in the race, finishing 16th, 12th, and 12th in her last three outings — beaten by huge distances each time. She has never won on normal ground or on wet ground, which covers most of the conditions she has faced, and there is very little in the data to suggest this race will go differently.