Kempton

The only horse in this field with a racecourse win to its name, and it came at this very track just 34 days ago — a massive advantage in a race full of debuts and inexperienced runners. A perfect 1-from-1 record is rare, but drawing 13 in a low-bias field is working against it here.

Racecourse debut for a Kingman colt out of a Dark Angel mare — excellent speed-focused pedigree that both sires are proven for — but drawing 1 in the low zone gives him a statistical advantage, albeit on an unproven debut. The jockey-trainer pairing is untested together.

The only other course-tested runner besides Charlie's Cannon, with a win and a place from two races — but it hasn't raced in 118 days, the longest absence in the field, and has never run on slow ground like this. That layoff and unfamiliar conditions make the 1-from-2 record less reliable than it sounds.

The only filly with two racecourse runs under her belt, but she's winless and has finished fourth on both occasions — unplaced in both starts and never raced on slow ground like this. The Ed Walker yard is strong (76 winners), but this filly hasn't benefited from that form.

Racecourse debut for a filly by Bungle Inthejungle (proven tough runner) out of a Mastercraftsman mare with decent stamina credentials, trained by Jack Channon (16 wins from 115 races). The pedigree reads like honest, competitive bloodlines rather than outstanding, and drawing 7 puts her in the weaker mid-draw zone.

Racecourse debut for a Supremacy colt with speed-focused pedigree, but drawing 10 in a high-draw-bias zone (only 6% win rate) is a real handicap on an unfamiliar polytrack surface. The stable's win record is modest relative to rivals, and the price of 56 suggests few expect a debut winner here.

A 6-year-old making her racecourse debut is extremely unusual and raises questions about why she's only now getting to the track. No form data, an untested jockey-trainer pairing, and long odds of 401 reflect genuine uncertainty — this is a genuine surprise package or a problem horse.

A racecourse debut for a Kodi Bear colt out of a Frankel mare with decent breeding, but the trainer (Richard Phillips) and jockey pairing have zero wins together and the horse is priced at 151 — hardly the market's idea of a winner. Drawing 11 in the high-draw zone adds another layer of difficulty.

Racecourse debut with standard pedigree (Sassofortino out of a Sadler's Wells mare) that doesn't stand out, and at 126 odds the market sees little in this horse. The jockey-trainer partnership has no wins together in five attempts, and nothing in the profile screams value.