Wearing tongue strapFresh (63 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The clear market favourite at 1.5 and carries the lightest weight in the field, which is a significant advantage in a race like this. The editorial verdict points to a wide-margin win at Hereford last week — though the data here shows 0 career wins from 11 races, so that victory isn't fully reflected in the stats provided. Harry Skelton is aboard, part of one of jump racing's most productive partnerships, and the low weight could be the difference against three rivals all carrying considerably more.
Won last time out at Exeter 42 days ago, which puts it in decent form, but like BREEZETHROUGHLIFE it has never raced on today's dry ground — a real unknown. With only four career races under its belt, it is the least experienced horse in this field. The second-favourite price of 4.6 feels ambitious given those question marks.
The highest-rated horse in the field by 3lbs, yet the market has completely written it off — drifting out to 19/1 — which tells you something. It has never raced on today's dry ground, and its last outing was a distant eighth at Fakenham just two weeks ago. Until it shows it can handle these conditions, the rating advantage means very little.
Top rated by 3lbsNever raced on dry groundUnfancied in the market despite a high rating
The best career win rate in the field, winning roughly 1 in every 4 races, and crucially the only horse here with a proven win at this distance of 2m 4f. However, its last two runs were both beaten by huge margins — 67 lengths and 46 lengths — so something looks badly wrong right now. Hard to trust at 13/1 despite the distance form.
Only winner at this distanceBest career win rate in field (1 in 4)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.