Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Comes here on the back of a win at Perth just 16 days ago, so the confidence is high and the momentum is real — but its record on normal or wet ground is a worry, with zero wins from seven attempts on softer surfaces. Hexham is also a left-handed galloping track, where this horse has failed to win in eight tries, which is a pattern that is hard to ignore.
The market has made this the favourite, but the most glaring fact here is that this horse has not raced in 441 days — the longest absence in the field by a huge margin. It does carry the best win rate in the race at 1 from every 5 outings, and its last run was a win, but asking a horse to come back after over 14 months off and beat fresher rivals is a significant ask.
Absent 441 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)Market favourite (5.2)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2023
"He ran well in a bumper in May last year when he was fourth despite being as green as grass. His half-brother [Sir Valentino] was third in the Champion Chase [in 2017]. He'll be going straight over hurdles. 25-10-23"
Fresh (77 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in this field with just six career races, and the record is far from encouraging — no wins, a fall last time out, and a pulled up here at Hexham previously. The one bright spot is a second-place finish at Uttoxeter, which showed it can at least get close, but the trainer has gone 0 from 10 in the last two weeks and confidence is not exactly running high.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Alongside Hourless, this is the only other horse in the field who has actually won at Hexham before — and it did so just 26 days ago, making it the most recent course winner here. The concern is that it has never won on anything other than normal dry ground, going 0 from 5 on softer surfaces, so conditions today will need to stay in its favour.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2024
"I quite like her sire and she's been placed in two bumpers, with the form of her Southwell second looking quite good. She's improved for a summer break and will probably run in one more bumper before going hurdling. 16-10-24"
Won at this course & distanceFresh (82 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in this field by a distance — 45 races compared to a field average of 17 — but that experience has rarely been put to good use away from Hamilton Park, where it has won four times. Hexham is not Hamilton Park, and this horse has never won on a left-handed galloping track in 12 attempts. An 82-day break and a troubled recent record of mostly mid-pack finishes make this a tough sell.
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
In the form of its life right now — two wins from its last six races, including a victory at Carlisle just three weeks ago — and this horse has shown it particularly thrives over two miles and longer. The one concern is soft or wet ground, where it has yet to win from five attempts, but conditions today are normal so that should not be an issue.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict puts this horse top of the shortlist, and with good reason — a close fourth here at Hexham last month, beaten just two lengths, suggests it is knocking on the door at this very course. Still winless from 11 career races, but that run last time was the clearest sign yet that everything might finally come together, especially back on a track it clearly handles.
Won at this course & distanceWearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
One of only two horses in this field who has actually won at Hexham before, which is a genuine plus — but both of its career wins came back in 2023 and nothing has clicked since across 24 races. The record on normal and wet ground is poor, and a left-handed sharp track like Hexham has brought zero wins from five attempts despite that one course victory.
Fresh (183 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Despite carrying a higher rating than most in this field, the market has completely turned its back on this horse at 15/1 — a puzzling combination. It has had wind surgery since pulling up here six months ago, and that second-place finish at this same course suggests it handles Hexham, but five races without a win and a long absence mean there are more questions than answers here.
The blunt truth is that this horse has never won from 22 career races, making it the joint-most winless runner in the field alongside a couple of others — but at nine years old, time is not on its side. Rated 14 pounds below the field average, it carries the lowest weight today, but its recent form reads as a string of pulled ups and mid-pack finishes, and the jockey has never ridden it before.
Lowest rated, 14lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.