Doncaster
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Aalberts Ips Pegler Valves Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Starts in
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Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Kohana Nation is the market favourite at 1.91 despite not racing for 225 days—the longest absence in this field by far—and has never tackled dry ground before. The horse's two career races came on softer conditions and produced a second place, but returning from such a long layoff to a completely different surface is a significant ask. This is a real puzzle at short odds for a lightly raced horse with serious question marks over freshness and ground preferences.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Absent 225 days (longest in field)
Market favourite (1.91)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Brash has run five times without a win but shown enough ability to pick up two placed finishes, most recently second at Ripon. The drift in odds from 1.1 to 3.45 suggests market confidence has waned, but the horse was back on track with a fourth at Ayr just 12 days ago after a poor run seven races back. This is a horse that runs regularly and knows the game—it just needs to find that breakthrough moment.
2nd in the market (3.45)
TrackLab Insight
Stoneacre Joe has raced seven times without a win and shown patchy recent form, finishing fourth at Ripon just 14 days ago after a fifth at Ayr. The horse has picked up two places from seven attempts but drifted significantly in the market, suggesting it has disappointed more often than impressed. With seven races done and no wins on the board, Stoneacre Joe remains a work in progress.
Mid-range in the market (10.0)
TrackLab Insight
Triple P has run just once—a fourth-place finish at Redcar 13 days ago—making this horse the least experienced in the field alongside Sakura Impact. With virtually no form to work with and odds of 12.0, this is a genuine unknown quantity that will need to improve sharply from its debut effort. The trainer Tim Easterby has a decent record with this jockey (8 wins from 66 races together), so there's hope, but the evidence is paper-thin.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Sakura Impact has run once—finishing third at Yarmouth 24 days ago—and that single placed finish is the most promising debut form in this field, showing enough to suggest it belongs on a racecourse. The filly carries less weight (128lbs) than the rest of the field and has room to improve second time out, though at 41.0 odds this is clearly a speculative play. The real question is whether that debut third was genuine ability or beginner's luck.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Spruces Due is a four-year-old with two races and zero wins, having finished twelfth at Doncaster just 48 days ago after a fourth on debut over a year earlier. The horse has never raced on dry ground and faces a brand-new jockey-trainer combination, making this an unpromising package at 101.0 odds. This looks like a maiden waiting to happen, not a winner about to break through.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Your pick
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Odds
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Bet type
Win (they finish 1st)
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£5
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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