Jockey in form (2 wins in 14 days)Trainer in formWon 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The market has made this the joint-favourite at 6.5, which demands respect, though the horse has never won on normal ground and has zero wins from four attempts on similar conditions. The trainer and jockey combination has clicked twice in six races together recently, and a third-place finish last time out suggests the horse is in decent nick heading into this.
The standout positive in this field for horses in form — three consecutive top-three finishes, including a win at Dundalk and two runner-up efforts, one of which was beaten just a nose at Leopardstown 19 days ago. Racing at the right distance for its record and carrying a lower weight than most rivals, this horse is arriving here in the sharpest form of its career and deserves serious consideration.
N. Burns(2)
·
A. McIntyre
· 7yo
· 10st 0lb
· OR 70
FreshnessForm
8.4
Fresh (108 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict makes this horse the one to focus on — it finished second at this exact course and distance last year and is now racing from a rating 9lbs lower than it was that day, a significant advantage. It's one of only a few course winners in the field, though the concern is a 108-day absence and a poor record on good ground (zero wins from six attempts on similar conditions to today).
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
This horse has never raced on normal ground before — every career run has come on a different surface — which makes today a genuine unknown. Five places from nine races without a single win is a frustrating record, and with an apprentice jockey who hasn't won in nine rides over the last two weeks, the pieces aren't pointing in the right direction.
Wearing visorWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 88 races compared to a field average of 28 — and it arrives here in the form of its life, having won at Dundalk just 11 days ago. The critical problem is that all seven of its career wins have come at Dundalk on artificial ground, and it has never won on normal conditions like today; zero wins from every other track type it has tried.
Most experienced (88 runs, field avg 28)Trainer in best form (2 from 17 last 2wk)
Wearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Three wins from 41 races is a modest record, and recent form shows this horse finishing 5th, 9th, and 10th in its last three outings — a horse that appears to be going in the wrong direction. It has never won on normal ground (zero from 11 attempts), which is a damaging stat for a race run in these conditions.
R. Donaghue-Leahy(4)
·
P. J Flynn
· 5yo
· 10st 1lb
· OR 71
HeadgearForm
6.4
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
One of the few horses in this field who has actually won at the Curragh, which immediately makes this horse relevant. Winning roughly 1 in 5 races overall is a decent record at this level, but the most recent run here is unrecorded and there's a gap in form to assess — so some caution is warranted despite the course credentials.
Won at this course & distanceWearing tongue strapQuick turnaroundWon 1 of last 5Won here 3 times
TrackLab Insight
At ten years old, this is the oldest horse in the field, but more importantly it's a genuine Curragh specialist — three wins from 22 races here, which is the strongest course record of any runner. The snag is a 7th-place finish just nine days ago and a troubling record on left-handed tracks away from this venue (zero wins from 14 attempts).
R. Mulligan(2)
·
L. Hourigan
· 9yo
· 8st 12lb
· OR 54
HeadgearForm
6.4
Good Value
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
Rated joint-lowest in the field and 9lbs below the average, but this horse has the best record over seven furlongs of any runner here — four wins from 24 races at this trip. The problem is that all seven career wins have come at Dundalk, and it has never won at the Curragh in five attempts; racing on normal ground rather than artificial surface is a completely different proposition for this horse.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below averageBest record at this trip (4 from 24)
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesJockey in form (1 wins in 14 days)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
One of only a handful of course winners in this field, and the data shows this horse genuinely handles normal ground well — two wins from eight attempts on similar conditions. However, a distant 11th last time out and a pattern of struggling on left-handed tracks (just 1 win from 21 attempts) make it hard to trust despite the course form.
Has won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (2 from 8)
Wearing tongue strapQuick turnaroundWon 2 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
All four of this horse's career wins have come at Dundalk on artificial ground, and it has never won on normal conditions like those on offer today — zero from seven on good ground is a serious red flag. A distant 12th last time out and a record of zero wins from six races on right-handed galloping tracks makes this a very tough sell here.
Wearing hoodFresh (159 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field at 1 in 5 races sounds promising, but that's built on just five career races — the smallest sample of any runner here, so treat that stat with caution. The bigger concern is a 159-day absence, the longest in the field, and its sole win came at Dundalk on a completely different surface to what it faces today.
Absent 159 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Both of this horse's career wins have come on artificial ground at Dundalk, and it has never won on normal conditions — zero wins from 15 attempts on good ground is a telling stat for today. A third-place finish 11 days ago shows it's in reasonable form, but switching to a track and surface it has never conquered is a significant ask.
Six races in and still searching for a first win, Oxford Circus has also never raced on normal ground before, making today a step into the unknown on two fronts. Rated 9lbs below the field average — the joint-lowest in the race — it faces a stiff class challenge, and the recent record of 8th and 10th in its last two completed runs offers little encouragement.
Wearing tongue strapQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Zero wins from 11 races makes this the joint-least successful horse in the field alongside Go Out and Oxford Circus, and recent form is patchy at best — including an unseated rider and a distant 12th at Leopardstown. The most recent run at Navan is unrecorded, so there's a key piece of form missing before assessing any chance here.
Carries the lowest weight in the field, which is the only structural advantage here, but the form record is the most brutal in the race — no wins, no places, and finishes of 14th, 12th, and 17th in recent races. There is nothing in the data to suggest this horse is about to turn the corner in a 16-runner field.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.