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Irish Stallion Farms EBF Firville Stakes (Listed)
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All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite has the clearest record here: one win and one place from two races at a 50% win rate, which is exactly what you want to see from a two-year-old stepping up. She drew the rail and has a slight drop in form since her Fairyhouse win, but she's the obvious principal threat to the selection and proven she belongs at this level.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Market favourite (2.38)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Perfect record — one race, one win — at Leopardstown 36 days ago, which is the kind of debut result that catches attention. However, she's unproven beyond that single outing and the editoral verdict says she has 'seven or eight pounds to find', putting her in second tier behind the top two.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Three straight top-3 finishes without a win is the story here: closest was a 0.8-length second at Galway just 17 days ago, which shows she's competitive but can't quite get over the line. Rated 2lbs above average and trained by the in-form O'Brien yard, but that lack of a breakthrough win is telling.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 3lbs here, but she's won none of her four races despite three placings — a horse that keeps running well without breaking through. The rating sits highest on paper, yet her inability to convert into wins across four outings is a significant weakness against fresh competitors.
Top rated by 3lbs
TrackLab Insight
Three straight top-3 finishes tell a story of a horse getting better with each outing — she won at Listowel, then kept placing despite harder competition. Her progressive profile is the standout here: she's improving steadily and rated 8lbs above the field average, making her the selection.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Two races, two near-misses — this filly has yet to win but keeps finishing in the placings, suggesting she's competitive without quite closing it out. She's never tried normal ground before, which adds an unknown element to a horse that's still learning the ropes at just two years old.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Won on debut at Roscommon then finished fifth next time out — that's the full story of a horse with a 50% win rate but inconsistent form over just two races. She hasn't raced in 45 days, and the drop from winner to beaten fifth raises questions about whether that Roscommon win was the real deal.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Just one race in the book — a fifth-place finish at Fairyhouse — and you can't draw much from that as a debut run. This is an unknown quantity with minimal data, making her one of the longest shots in the field.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Won just 26 days ago at the Curragh and has a solid 33% win rate from three races, but she's rated 7lbs below the field average and sits in the 'pick of the rest' category with ground to make up. Her recent win is encouraging, but the form before that showed struggles at Naas.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Made a debut-winning second at Naas just 11 days ago, which is promising for a horse at this stage but offers only a tiny sample size. No data exists on her beyond that one run, so there's genuine guesswork involved backing her here.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The recent form here is a red flag: a seventh-place beating of 10 lengths just two weeks ago suggests this filly has slipped badly since her Bellewstown win six weeks back. Rated 12lbs below the field average, she's got ground to make up just to be competitive.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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