Top-rated by 9 pounds with a clear edge over her rivals, but that rating comes with a major caveat: she's never won a race in her 12 attempts. Her recent form shows two fourth-place finishes at Uttoxeter, suggesting she's running at the right level but just can't find the line—on normal ground over two miles, the conditions suit her profile, but her zero-win record is a glaring red flag.
Despite being the market favourite at 3.7, this horse is a mystery: just three career races, zero wins or places, and hasn't raced on normal ground before. After 171 days away—the longest absence in the field—she's coming back into this Class 5 race blind, making her an unreliable choice at any price.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (3 career races)Absent 171 days (longest in field)Market favourite (3.7)
At 7 years old with 40 races under her belt, she's the most experienced horse here and has won 4 races at a 10% win rate. The catch: her last three runs include a pulled-up finish and mediocre efforts on fast ground at Stratford, and today's normal ground won't trigger her best form—she thrives in wet or muddy conditions, not standard turf.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldMost experienced (40 runs, field avg 17)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Won just once in 36 races, but that win came at Uttoxeter 40 days ago—exactly the same track and recent timeframe as Jammy Jay's near-misses. The problem: Northern Rose has never won on standard ground in 7 attempts and struggles on left-hand galloping tracks like Bangor, making her more likely to frustrate than deliver.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Nine races and still chasing that elusive first win, with a jockey-trainer partnership that's yet to break through together (0 wins from 21 races). She's an outsider at 10.0 for good reason—recent form shows a fourth at Cartmel, but the pattern suggests she's running out of chances to deliver.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 2 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field with a winning record: two wins from seven races (roughly 1 in 3), and she's won on normal ground before. Her most recent effort was a heavy defeat at Uttoxeter 40 days ago, but her track record suggests she's capable of bouncing back if the yard have addressed whatever went wrong.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.