Ballinrobe
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Tim Kelly Group Handicap Hurdle
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Second favourite at 7.5 but owns a brutal record: zero wins from 20 races and hasn't trained her winning form yet. Two recent seconds (by 0.3L and 1.0L) suggest she's a genuine placer, but asking her to break through for a first win at 7 years old is asking a lot.
2nd in the market (7.5)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field with a victory here 440 days ago, but that's the problem—he's returning from 306 days out and has raced just 14 times in his career. At 8-1, he's betting heavily on muscle memory and the trainer's strong record with the jockey.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 6.5 but has never raced on normal ground in four career starts—this is uncharted territory. His best effort is a second by just half a length 56 days ago, suggesting he's close to a breakthrough, but the lack of data here is a genuine concern.
Never raced on normal ground
Market favourite (6.5)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Tops the ratings but this 11-year-old veteran (77 races) wins roughly once every 19 starts and runs again after just two days. The good news: he's fresh from a third-place finish; the bad news: he's shown zero wins on soft ground and the field is packed with longer-priced alternatives at better odds.
Most experienced (77 runs, field avg 15)
Runs again after just 2 days
TrackLab Insight
Ten years old, zero wins from 11 races, but she's a reliable placer with three cheques and recent form showing a fourth and third. At 12-1, she's proven she can run in the frame—just never in front.
Winless from 11 career races
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated runner at 72 and carries the lightest weight, but that's also a signal of her modest standard—zero wins from 11 races. Recent third at Ballinrobe 20 days ago is her best recent effort, but at 9-1 she's pricing in a breakthrough that hasn't come in a long career.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick despite zero wins from six races—that's the gamble here. Rated second-highest in the field and just off the pace with a recent fourth, she's one of the better-rated runners but has yet to prove she can break through at this level.
2nd highest rated (OR 97)
TrackLab Insight
Best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 8 (3 wins from 24 races) and a specialist here with 3 wins from 9 at Ballinrobe—the data screams course form. But she was eighth just 20 days ago and suffered a fall six weeks prior, making recent form hard to read.
Course specialist (3 wins from 9 here)
Best record at this trip (1 from 4)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
TrackLab Insight
Seven years old with just one win from 13 races, but that win came on good ground—her best surface at 1 from 5. She's had 58 days to recover and showed early form with a third-place finish, making her a potential value play at 15-1 if conditions stay firm and dry.
Best record on this ground (1 from 5)
TrackLab Insight
Ten-year-old with two wins from 27 races and a respectable third at Ballinrobe 20 days ago, but he's zero from five on soft ground and struggles on sharp tracks. At 13-1, he's reliable but rarely exciting.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 12 races with a shocker of 117 lengths beaten at Sligo just 29 days ago—that's a horse completely out of form. At 17-1, she's no value even as a sitter.
Winless from 12 career races
TrackLab Insight
Five races, zero wins, returning from 133 days off after a sixth-place finish. This is thin data and a long absence for a horse that never won before—skip at 15-1.
Relatively inexperienced (5 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Nine years old with zero wins from ten attempts and hasn't shown real form in 94 days. At 15-1, she's not good enough.
Winless from 10 career races
TrackLab Insight
Six races, zero wins, zero places—he's never finished in the frame and the form of 7-12-9 in his last three outings says he's not competitive at this level. At 13-1, he's a long way from home.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Only six races total with one place and a 19th-place finish in his form—a horse still learning the game at five years old. At 51-1, the market has priced him accordingly.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Just four races to her name with one place and no wins—still learning, but recent form of 11th (17 days ago) and 8th suggest she's not ready yet. At 67-1, the price reflects that uncertainty.
Relatively inexperienced (4 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Six-year-old with one place from eight races and recent form of 5-8 suggests she's struggling. At 29-1, this is a long shot with limited evidence of improvement.
Outsider at 29.0
TrackLab Insight
The field's longest absence at 763 days (over two years off)—this is a complete unknown on his return. Zero wins from 15 races even before the break, and at 17-1 you're betting entirely on the trainer's magic, not the data.
Absent 763 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
Rated third-highest at OR 94 with one win and three places from 15 races, he looks closer to the action than most. Fourth at Ballinrobe 20 days ago keeps him competitive, but zero wins on good ground is a concern if conditions stay firm.
Among the more experienced (15 career races)
Your pick
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What you'd get back
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Odds
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Win (they finish 1st)
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Your bet
£5
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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