Fresh (224 days off)Trainer in formWon 3 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (50% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The clear market favourite and the most impressive record in the field — four wins from just six career races, which is comfortably the best win rate here at roughly 1 in every 2. He has also performed well on dry ground specifically, winning twice from four attempts on similar conditions, which sets him apart from several rivals. The one question mark is a break of around seven months, but the editorial team have singled him out as their top pick regardless.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)Market favourite (4.8)
Finished 14th at Doncaster just 34 days ago — a poor effort — and his trainer has drawn a complete blank in the last two weeks with zero wins from 13 attempts. There is a previous second place at this very course to his name, which at least shows he can handle Ascot, but on current form it is hard to build a strong case for him against this level of competition.
Fresh (83 days off)Won 2 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The highest-rated horse in the field alongside Holloway Boy and Rashabar, and his two most recent wins both came at the very top level of British racing, which makes him a genuine benchmark here. He was beaten 4.3 lengths in Abu Dhabi last time, but track-specific overseas races can be hard to read, and his Ascot odds have held firm — the market still respects him. Along with Holloway Boy, the editorial team see him as one of the two horses setting the standard in this race.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
Fresh (62 days off)Jockey in form (5 wins in 14 days)Trainer in formWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a wide margin — 25 races against an average of 9 — and he has finished in the top three in three straight outings, showing he is in solid form heading into this. He carries the highest official rating in the race and has been backed in the market, but he has never won on wet ground and has struggled on the bigger, more galloping tracks, which is worth bearing in mind at Ascot.
Most experienced (25 runs, field avg 9)3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"He had another good winter season in Dubai and we brought him back early to try to get a nice summer out of him. If he gets invited to Hong Kong, he could go out there for the Mile, otherwise there's a Listed race at Ascot in early May. He's come back in serious form. 31-03-26"
May 2023
"He raised a few eyebrows last year when making a winning debut in the Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot. I won't say I wasn't pleasantly surprised, but I would not have run him in the race if I did not think he was smart. He subsequently ran big races in Group company without getting his head in front again. On his final run in the Futurity Stakes people labelled him as a lairy horse, but I think he is more of a lazy colt. I think the combination of being in front too soon and wearing a visor first time resulted in his odd run. His preparations for the 2,000 Guineas have not gone smoothly but we are getting there now, and his work last week was very pleasing. He's another who could go under the radar and although Auguste Rodin looks seriously smart, there are few others that frighten me. 07-05-23"
Fresh (251 days off)Jockey in form (7 wins in 14 days)Trainer in formWon 2 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Two wins from three races over this exact one-mile trip — the best record at today's distance of any horse in the field — and he carries the least weight in the race, which is an advantage. His last run was a distant eighth at York, but that came over eight months ago and he has clearly been freshened up since; Ryan Moore, one of the best jockeys in the world, takes the ride, which is always a positive signal.
Wearing cheekpiecesTrainer in formWon 2 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Wins roughly 1 in 3 races and arrives here with the trainer in red-hot form — the Gosden yard has won 10 of their last 34 races in the past fortnight. The problem is that his odds have drifted significantly (out from 8s to 12s), which suggests the market isn't convinced, and his record on dry ground is a real concern: zero wins from three attempts on similar conditions.
Fresh (286 days off)Jockey in form (7 wins in 14 days)Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
His one career win came at Royal Ascot — one of the most prestigious occasions in the racing calendar — so he clearly handles this course, and his jockey James Doyle has been in excellent form recently with 7 wins from 22 rides in the past fortnight. The big concern is that he has been off the track for 286 days, the longest absence of any horse in this field, and his odds have drifted since markets opened — a sign the market is factoring in that fitness question.
Absent 286 days (longest in field)Jockey in best form (7 from 22 last 2wk)
Trainer in formWon 1 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the race with just three career outings, and crucially he has never raced on the dry ground he will face today — that is a genuine unknown. He finished a solid third at Thirsk just three weeks ago, so fitness is not an issue, but stepping up to this level on an unfamiliar surface against horses rated up to 13 points above him makes this a tough ask.
Never raced on dry groundLightly raced (3 career races)
Fresh (219 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Won a top-level race at Goodwood last autumn, but that was over seven months ago and he has been absent ever since — the longest break of any horse in the field alongside a couple of others. His odds have drifted sharply from 18s to 34s, which tells you the market has serious doubts about him returning from that lay-off, and he has never won on the dry ground he will face today.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.