V Twelve

The ground matters too. V Twelve has won 2 of his 11 races on wet or muddy ground — that is 18%, or roughly 1 in every 5 or 6 times conditions turn soft. That is nearly double his overall win rate, which tells you something important: when the rain comes and conditions get testing, this horse finds another gear. Combine wet ground with his preferred distance of a mile and three to a mile and four furlongs — where he has won 2 from 8 races, a 25% hit rate — and you start to understand when to pay close attention.

David Nolan is the jockey most associated with him, winning 1 of their 5 races together, a 20% win rate that betters the horse's career average. Todhunter himself hinted at a broader story during a stable tour back in 2023, noting that V Twelve had briefly tried his hand at hurdles and shown real ability over jumps — an interesting aside suggesting there is more than one chapter still to be written. The trainer also acknowledged the horse had been on the go a long time, which perhaps explains some of the quieter spells in his record.

The last six races have produced no wins — a 4th, a 9th, and some gaps in between — but given that Hamilton Park win came barely eleven months ago, V Twelve has shown he can still deliver when conditions align. Todhunter's yard has sent out 9 winners this season, so the operation is in form. The horse most often competes at Class 5, the bread-and-butter level of British racing, and at that level, a course specialist on soft ground over a mile and a half is always dangerous when the planets line up.