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Dawn Of Liberation

Dawn Of Liberation is a seven-year-old who has spent most of his career as a nearly-horse — good enough to place twelve times across 45 races, but finding the winner's enclosure only five times, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 9 races. That said, when he has found his moment, he has found it at the right places.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Churchill
Mother
Danetime Out
Trainer
Owner
Ruth Carr Racing Club
Rating
71

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
45
Career races
5
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
26.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His best days came in a bright spell in 2022. He broke his duck at Doncaster in March of that year, then stepped up to win a Class 2 race at Goodwood in April — one of the top levels of racing in Britain, and the kind of occasion that suggests a horse with genuine ability rather than just a fortunate winner. His owner, Paul Roy, was candid after Goodwood that nobody had really understood a poor run at Newmarket shortly before — the horse had "emptied" during the race, which in plain terms means he ran out of gas earlier than he should have. That inconsistency, with performances swinging dramatically between his best and worst, was something trainer Ruth Carr eventually addressed by having his wind treated — a routine procedure designed to help horses breathe more efficiently and run more consistently.

Carr trains out of Stillington in North Yorkshire and has had a productive season, sending out 63 winners. Dawn Of Liberation has been part of her string throughout, and his most recent win came at York in June 2025, just eleven months ago, so he is still capable of finding the line first. He is most effective on normal ground — four of his five wins have come in those conditions — and his best distance is around a mile and three to four furlongs, where he has won 2 of his 11 races at that trip, a rate of roughly 1 in 5.

The honest picture right now is that he is going through a lean patch. His last six runs read 7-6-7-10-6-5 (most recent last), none of them close to winning, and at Class 4 — the bread-and-butter level where he spends most of his time — he has won just 1 of 20 races, or 1 in every 20 attempts at that level. Warren Fentiman rides him most often, winning once from eight rides together. He raced just yesterday, so the yard are keeping him busy. A horse who has touched Class 2 level and won at York is clearly talented; the question now is whether he can rediscover the consistency that made those moments possible.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 4 wins from 21 starts (19%)
Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 18% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Yet to win at Ripon in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts
Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
7F – 1M
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Loves
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 May
5th
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
20 Apr
6th
Redcar
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
30 Mar
10th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners
2 Oct
7th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
16 Sep
6th
Redcar
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 8 runners
30 Aug
7th
Beverley
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
17 Aug
3rd
Pontefract
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 3 runners
11 Aug
3rd
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 10 runners
4 Aug
2nd
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 6 runners
27 Jul
2nd
Pontefract
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
James Sullivan Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Miss Charli Parker
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Rhys Elliott
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ripon
Sharp
5 1 second, 4 other 8 May 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 6 May 0%
Redcar
Galloping
4 4 other 20 Apr 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 30 Mar 0%
York
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 11 Jul 33.3%
Nottingham
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 2 Oct 33.3%
Southwell
Galloping
3 3 other 1 May 0%
Beverley
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 30 Aug 50%
Ascot
Galloping
2 2 other 6 Oct 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 3 May 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 third 17 Aug 0%
Ayr
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 11 Aug 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 win 29 Apr 100%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 win 27 Mar 100%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 26 Jun 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 27 May 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 3 Jun 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 12 May 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Aug 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Jun 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 13 Apr 0%