The real value in this horse lies in understanding its preferences. On fast, dry ground, Bajan Bandit wins roughly 1 in every 5 races (2 wins from 9 attempts)—almost double its overall 11% win rate. Distance matters too: over 7 furlongs to a mile, the horse has won 5 of 27 races, a respectable 19%, and performs best when dropped into Class 4 company, where it has won 4 of 18 races (22%). These aren't the numbers of a horse that has completely lost its way; they are the numbers of one that needs the right surface, the right trip, and the right level to show any spark.
Sam James, who has ridden Bajan Bandit nine times, has won once aboard it—that same 11% rate that defines the horse overall, suggesting no particular magic between rider and horse. The streak without a win is now long enough to worry that Bajan Bandit may be in gentle decline, but a drop back to Class 4 on a dry surface over its preferred distance remains a realistic shot at number seven.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell Galloping |
12 | 2 wins, 1 third, 9 other | 31 Aug | 16.7% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
10 | 1 win, 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 5 other | 27 Mar | 10% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
7 | 1 win, 1 third, 5 other | 7 Aug | 14.3% |
| York Galloping |
5 | 1 win, 2 thirds, 2 other | 11 Oct | 20% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
4 | 1 second, 3 other | 7 Jul | 0% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
4 | 1 second, 3 other | 26 Sep | 0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
2 | 1 second, 1 other | 20 Aug | 0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 25 Oct | 0% |
| Salisbury Undulating |
1 | 1 win | 22 Jun | 100% |
| Ascot Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 23 Jul | 0% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 25 Jun | 0% |
| Beverley Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 4 Jul | 0% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 4 May | 0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 24 Jul | 0% |
| Chester Tight |
1 | 1 other | 11 Jul | 0% |
| Musselburgh Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 30 Apr | 0% |