The top-rated horse in the field by 4lbs, and the market has made her a clear favourite — her odds have shortened heading into the race. She finished fourth in the Fillies' Mile at Newmarket, the highest-quality race any horse in this field has contested, and the editorial team have made her their selection. The one genuine concern is that she has not raced in over seven months, the longest absence in the field, so whether she returns to her best first time out is the key question.
Top rated by 4lbsLightly raced (3 career races)Absent 215 days (longest in field)Market favourite (2.2)
Two races, two wins — a perfect record that only one other horse in this field can match. She drops four classes from her usual level, which raises an obvious question about whether she has been pointed here because the yard believe she is ready for a leap up in quality, or simply to find an easier spot. With just two career races under her belt, she is stepping into the unknown, but the unbeaten record demands respect.
Drops 4 classes from usual levelLightly raced (2 career races)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"She's very exciting and will have an Oaks campaign, whether it be Epsom or Chantilly - I'm not convinced she'll stay 1m4f. She's done well physically and could start in a fillies' novice at Sandown or the Pretty Polly Stakes at Newmarket. We've always thought a lot of her. We were pleased with her winning debut at Lingfield and we've been happy with her this spring. 22-04-26"
Trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore, this horse carries strong team credentials into the race. She has the best record of any runner in the field on normal ground — winning 1 from 3 races on this type of surface — but her last two outings have produced a fifth and a sixth, so current form is a concern. Rated 7lbs below the favourite, she needs to find improvement on recent showings to threaten at this level.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"She ran some good races last season and was fifth behind Precise in the Fillies' Mile. She'll go into a trial for the Guineas or Oaks. 31-03-26"
Stepping up in classJockey in form (2 wins in 14 days)Trainer in formWon 2 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Like Felicitas, Sea The Storm arrives with a perfect two-from-two record, but crucially she has never raced on normal ground — both wins came on different surfaces, so today is a step into the unknown in that regard. She also drops three levels in class, which makes it hard to know how she will handle the upgrade in quality. Tom Marquand has ridden two winners in the last two weeks, but this horse has a lot of unanswered questions heading into a race of this standard.
Drops 3 classes from usual levelNever raced on normal groundLightly raced (2 career races)
A winner on debut, K Sarra then finished a distant 11th at Newbury last time out — a result that is hard to ignore when assessing how ready she is for a race of this quality. She is rated 12lbs below the field average, the joint-lowest official rating in the field alongside Della Pace, and drops four levels in class. The price has shortened slightly, but the form profile does not inspire confidence at this stage.
Drops 4 classes from usual levelLightly raced (2 career races)Jockey in best form (1 from 12 last 2wk)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"She ran in the Fred Darling and has come out of the race well. She'd had only one start on the all-weather and she had been working well. She'll step up to a mile and a quarter next as we thought she might be better at middle distances. She's a sister to Pride Of Arras and they're a family who catch on quick, and she's pretty straightforward. 27-04-26"
Rated 12lbs below the field average, Della Pace is stepping down two levels in class here — a significant drop that suggests her team may simply be finding a softer spot. She has never raced on normal ground, so today is an unknown, and while she finished a respectable second last time out, that came at Wolverhampton against very different opposition. Honest and consistent, but she looks outgunned at this level.
Drops 2 classes from usual levelNever raced on normal groundBest career win rate in field (1 in 5)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.