The market has made this horse the clear favourite at 2.0, and it is easy to see why — two second-place finishes in her last two races show she is in the form of her life right now. The editorial verdict singles her out specifically, noting she ran a big race in defeat at Fontwell last month and is still on a fair weight. The one unknown is dry ground, which she has never encountered before, but her recent consistency makes her the obvious one to beat.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (97 days off)Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the field at 97 days raises a question mark, and her last run ended in a pull-up at Plumpton before that. She carries the lightest weight of any horse with a realistic chance, which helps, but she has never raced on dry ground and is rated 9lbs below the field average.
Never raced on dry groundAbsent 97 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
Carries the highest weight in the field and is rated 8lbs clear of the next-best horse, which makes life harder from the off. The form figures tell a difficult story: two distant sixth-place finishes recently, and her only win came nearly two years ago on very different ground. Crucially, she has never raced on dry ground, so we simply don't know how she handles today's conditions.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Finally got off the mark at Worcester in her most recent race, which is encouraging, but the odds have drifted out from 6.0 to 8.5 — suggesting those who know are not rushing to back her. She has raced at Stratford twice recently and finished fourth and fifth, and like most in this field she has never run on dry ground before today.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 38 races compared to single figures for most rivals — and she is the only runner here with a proven record at today's distance of 2 miles 4 furlongs. The problem is her recent form is poor: a pull-up, a refusal, and an eighth-place finish in her last three outings, and her record on dry ground is weak with no wins from eight attempts on similar conditions.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldOnly winner at this distanceBest record at this trip (1 from 8)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.