Southwell
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attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2)
Starts in
Awaiting result
Tapeta surface
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Second-favourite at 5.0 with recent form that reads better than it runs — two placed finishes in her last three outings at Wolverhampton, most recently a close second by 1.2 lengths. Still winless after eight races, but her trainer's partnership strikes at roughly 1 in 5, and she's been competitive on the Tapeta surface.
2nd in the market (5.0)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 4.5, Here Comes Louie was beaten by just 0.1 lengths at Thirsk three weeks ago — the closest call in the entire field — and has two places from five races. Draw 1 carries no advantage at this track, but the narrow defeat form marks him as genuinely competitive.
Market favourite (4.5)
TrackLab Insight
Eight races unbeaten but placed in 2 of his last 3 outings, Elashgar is closer to a breakthrough than the record suggests — he's been third twice in recent weeks, losing by less than 2 lengths last time. His jockey-trainer partnership wins roughly once every other race, which is the sharpest record in the field.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field with a win on standard ground (1 from 4 races here), Starakova broke through at Wolverhampton 101 days ago and has been placed twice in six recent runs — that's genuine improvement. She suits 7f–1m distances and backs up form at this track, making her the standout for consistency at this venue.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
TrackLab Insight
Six races, one place, and drifting odds (8.0) tell the story: Ernie McCrew has been racing regularly but hasn't threatened recently, finishing fifth and seventh in his last two runs. This is a horse at the lower end of the betting market for good reason — no wins, no clear upside.
Mid-range in the market (8.0)
TrackLab Insight
Alice's Influence owns the best win rate in this field at roughly 1 in 10 races, and her record on fast ground is excellent (1 win from 3), though today's standard conditions are less friendly (0 wins from 3). She's been placed four times from ten races — a steady operator rather than a star, but blinkers on suggests the trainer believes more is possible.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 10)
TrackLab Insight
Just three races into her career, Gilleangirl has nothing on the board yet and hasn't raced in 121 days — the longest absence in this field, which raises serious questions about her readiness today. Her recent Southwell run ended in seventh place, and with drifting odds (13.0), there's little evidence she's the answer to this puzzle.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Absent 121 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by 6 pounds and hasn't raced in 65 days, Thomas Tallis has managed just one seventh-place finish in four career races with no places — a genuinely poor record. At 21.0 odds, this is a horse racing down the field.
Lowest rated, 5lbs below average
TrackLab Insight
Speckled Brown carries the lightest weight in the field but has never raced on standard ground before and steps up four classes here — a significant stretch for a horse with four races, zero wins, zero places. The 41.0 odds reflect reality: this is a horse still waiting to show anything remotely promising.
Carries lowest weight in field
Steps up 4 classes
Never raced on normal ground
Your pick
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Odds
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Win (they finish 1st)
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£5
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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