Southwell
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Family Fun Day Monday 31st August Handicap Hurdle
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at around 4s, which means the betting public think this is the one most likely to win — but there's a significant unknown hanging over his chances. He has never raced on normal ground conditions before, having always run on softer surfaces, so today is a step into the unknown. He ran a solid second last time out at Fontwell, which keeps him in the picture, but that unanswered question about the ground is impossible to ignore.
Never raced on normal ground
Market favourite (4.33)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Three career wins is a solid record in this field, and he arrives having finished a close second here at Southwell just 48 days ago — so he clearly handles this course. The problem is his most recent run: beaten 48 lengths at Perth, which is a significant backward step from that Southwell effort. He wears blinkers to help focus his mind, and today's normal ground doesn't suit him as well as softer conditions where his three wins came.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Second in the market despite never having won a race in nine attempts — a puzzling position for a horse still searching for its first victory. He's finished in the places three times, including a second earlier in his career, but nothing better than third from his last six races. The second-shortest price in the race feels generous for a horse yet to break his duck.
2nd in the market (7.2)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2024
"He had one run in a four-year-old bumper at Punchestown for Jamie Sloan, when inexperience showed, and then he was put away for the summer and sent to us. He's benefited from that break and has come in as a really strong individual. He'll almost certainly go straight over hurdles and it'll be interesting to see how far he goes. 22-10-24"
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in this field by 3lbs, which on paper makes him the one to beat — but the odds have drifted dramatically and he arrives having been beaten 30 lengths at Ascot last time out. He's been off the track for nearly five months, so there are questions about whether he's ready to fire. His best run recently came here at Southwell, where he finished a close second, so the course at least holds no fears.
Top rated by 3lbs
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
TrackLab Insight
Comes here on the back of a win at Wincanton 40 days ago, which makes him one of the freshest form horses in the race. Three wins from 16 races is a respectable record, matching some of the better-performed runners here. The worry is he's never won on a right-handed undulating track, and today's course at Southwell presents a different challenge to what he's been winning on recently.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
The nap selection from our editorial team, and the case is straightforward: a promising third last time out at Wincanton on just his sixth career race, and bred to relish this longer trip of 2m 4f. He's the least experienced horse in the field, which cuts both ways — less battle-hardened than rivals, but potentially still improving and with untapped potential. Still to win, but the signs point forward rather than back.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The most alarming entry in the race on one key measure: he hasn't run for 510 days, by far the longest absence of any horse here. Coming back after nearly a year and a half off is a huge ask, regardless of ability, and his record of just 1 win from 21 career races doesn't inspire confidence. He ran a decent second last time out before that long break, so there's a sliver of hope — but this looks a race for him to get fit rather than win.
Absent 510 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 26 races to the average of 14 — and crucially the only runner here who has previously won over this exact trip of 2m 4f. He's also shown his best form on normal ground like today's conditions, winning 3 times from 11 races on it. The concern is recent form: beaten nearly 28 lengths last time out, and the jockey-trainer partnership has produced just 1 win from 35 races together.
Only winner at this distance
Best record on this ground (3 from 11)
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
Most experienced (26 runs, field avg 14)
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field and is rated 17lbs below the field average — the handicapper's way of saying this horse is at the bottom of the pecking order. He's also returning from over a year off the track, which is a significant concern for any horse. Three places from nine races shows he's competitive enough to feature, but winning has always proved a step too far and today's challenges look steep.
Lowest rated, 16lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
A big price at 34s, and recent form makes it hard to argue against that assessment — he pulled up last time out at Uttoxeter and was beaten 31 lengths the run before. Three wins from 25 races works out at roughly 1 in every 8, which is a modest return, and his record on normal ground like today is particularly poor with zero wins from six attempts on it. Hard to make a case for him here.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
A 50-1 outsider and the longest shot in the field, which tells you most of what you need to know about his chances here. Nine races and no wins, and his most recent run was a heavy defeat — beaten over 41 lengths at Exeter. He's shown flashes of ability with back-to-back second-place finishes earlier in the season, but the drop in form since then makes him very hard to fancy.
Outsider at 50.0
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