The market favourite and top-rated horse by 5lbs, Likedbymike has the experience advantage with 19 races under her belt, but there's a glaring problem: she's never won on good ground (0 wins from 11 attempts) and has failed to win at Naas in five tries. Her recent form here includes a 10th and a 3rd place, suggesting she struggles on this track and these conditions despite being the ratings leader.
Top rated by 5lbsMost experienced (19 runs, field avg 6)Market favourite (2.2)
Fresh (353 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The standout record here: won on debut and placed in her only other race, giving a win rate of 1 in 2 races across two starts — by far the best ratio in the field. However, she hasn't raced in nearly a year (353 days), so the key question is whether that success translates after such a long absence.
Lightly raced (2 career races)Absent 353 days (longest in field)
Fresh (86 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
This three-year-old is one of the more successful runners in the field with a win rate of roughly 1 in 4 races, but he hasn't raced in nearly three months and his last two outings at Naas and Cork both ended in disappointing finishes. The long absence is a concern, though his proven ability to win makes him a genuine threat if he returns fresh.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Focaccia holds the best active win rate of those with real experience: 1 win from 8 races, and crucially she's found the winning formula recently with a victory at Bellewstown just three weeks ago. Her last two runs at Naas and Curragh were disappointing finishes, but the recent win suggests form is there if she can reproduce it.
D. O'Leary(10)
·
G. O'Leary
· 4yo
· 9st 13lb
· OR 87
FreshnessForm
6.4
Quick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Back out just four days after finishing 11th at Galway, Tolebi is winless from five races and has drifted heavily in the market from 1.04 to 13.0 — a sign the betting public has little confidence here. The quick turnaround and poor recent form make this a tough proposition in what looks a competitive race.
Fresh (291 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
This three-year-old has raced only twice and hasn't been seen since a 4th place finish at Curragh nearly 10 months ago, meaning he's returning from a very long break with minimal experience. He's also never raced on normal ground before, so this represents a double unknown in what is otherwise a competitive field.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (2 career races)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.