Killarney

Where's My Jet has the best career win rate in the field at one in five, but his recent form is genuinely alarming—he's finished tenth, tenth, and fifteenth in his last three runs and has been beaten 26 and 36 lengths in his last two outings. Despite being the editorial selection at 4.0 odds, current form suggests he is badly out of sorts, and the rating advantage looks hollow.

Fort Dino has raced just once in his life, finishing eighth at Punchestown 112 days ago, and he's never encountered normal ground conditions before—this is uncharted territory. In the hands of Henry De Bromhead's stable, he has time to learn, but throwing a lightly raced five-year-old into a three-mile chase over unfamiliar ground is asking a lot.

Lemmy Caution has clicked into form with three straight top-three finishes, most recently a second at Downpatrick 37 days ago, and he won his first race for Colin Bowe before Gordon Elliott brought him into his operation. He wins roughly one in seven races and is visibly in better shape than many in this field, making him a genuine danger at 6.4 odds.

Ballystone wins roughly one in seven races and has proven consistency to stay in work at eight years old, but recent form is shaky—he's finished fourth or worse in his last four outings and hasn't won since Galway a year ago. The seven-pound gap in the ratings doesn't look like enough given that run of poor results, and his zero wins from six starts on left-handed tracks is a real concern at a track that demands steering.