Market favourite at 3.8 and top-rated (+4 vs field), but he's a concern: zero wins from 4 starts on dry ground, last run was disappointing (4th at Ascot 45 days ago), and he's won only 3 from 16 races overall (19% win rate). The odds are tighter than his form justifies.
Market favourite (3.8)
Trainer Quotes
Jun 2025
"We think the mile and a quarter will suit him and his form this year has been strong, including winning a Group 3 at the Curragh. 13-06-25"
Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The selection and narrowly top-rated horse here, with one of only three course winners in the field — he won at Goodwood 70 days ago and has a superb 38% win rate on dry ground like today. Recent form is patchy (4th, 3rd, 1st), but his class credentials are genuine: he's beaten top-level opposition and his trainer thinks better is still to come.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"Won the Cambridgeshire last year with a really solid performance. We stepped him up in trip in the Winter Derby and while I think he gets a mile and a quarter, the track didn't suit. He could go for the Earl of Sefton at Newmarket next. 31-03-26"
Aug 2023
"He has always looked a nice colt and I expected him to go well on his debut, which he did when finishing second to Cogitate at Newbury over 7f. That did him a lot of good and we sent him back there over a mile on Friday, when he finished third. We'll have to sit down and see where he goes next. 25-08-23"
Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
One of three course winners here with solid Class 1 credentials (5 wins overall), and he's well-suited to 7f–1m distances (40% win rate), though this is slightly further. His last run was a dreadful 16th at Ascot 45 days ago, and his recent Goodwood outing was a 7th — form is trending the wrong way.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"He's been a real star for us, winning at Royal Ascot for the last two seasons, so we'll try to get a race into him before heading there again, although I may just do it with a couple of racecourse gallops. The Wolferton will be his target again. He showed he got the trip when winning it last year, so we'll work back from that. He's sound, honest, versatile and very good. 21-04-26"
Won 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (50% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The standout talent by win rate: 40% of his 10 career races have been victories, the best record in this field by a distance. He's also 2 from 4 on dry ground and has tasted Class 1 success twice, but his last two runs (7th at Ascot, 9th at Newbury) are a genuine concern and suggest he's lost his form.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
The least experienced runner (just 8 career races) but genuinely talented with a 38% win rate, and he's particularly suited to this 1m1f trip (67% win rate). However, his last run was a 7th at Curragh 33 days ago, and he hasn't raced in almost five months — fitness is a real question mark here.
Has never raced on dry ground in his career, which is a major red flag for today — he's been suited by softer conditions throughout. Also hasn't run for 57 days and carries a low rating (-3 vs field average), making him a tough puzzle to solve in this company.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated runner here and has a clear dislike of dry ground (0 wins from 4 attempts), yet today is dry — a significant disadvantage. He's also been inconsistent (8th, 2nd, 8th in last three) and hasn't won since May 2024, making him a stretch at long odds.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 2 of last 5Has won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated in the field and a solid 33% career win rate, but he's been awful on dry ground (1 win from 7) and was hammered last time out (6th at Sandown, beaten 16 lengths). The draw doesn't help either, stuck in stall 1 where win rates are modest at 12%.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.