Curragh
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Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 4.5 but absent for 149 days—by far the longest gap in this field—which is a significant concern despite a recent second-place finish at Naas. His career record (3 wins from 22 races) is reliable rather than special, and the extended layoff makes timing uncertain here.
Absent 149 days (longest in field)
Market favourite (4.5)
TrackLab Insight
Happy Henry is building real momentum with placement in two of his last three races, including a recent win at Bellewstown. His win rate remains modest overall (2 wins from 23), but he finished just 1.8 lengths away at this track 29 days ago and has shown marked improvement this season.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick and most experienced runner in the field at 51 career races, with a progressive profile reflected in his recent second-place finish at this track 29 days ago. Harry's Hill sits three points below Soulful Diva on the ratings but the editorial argues his upward curve and the timing of his runs make him the value play, despite never winning on standard ground in five attempts.
Most experienced (51 runs, field avg 18)
TrackLab Insight
Mary Shoelaces is the only course specialist in this field with a standout record at the Curragh: 3 wins from 10 races (30%), nearly double her overall win rate. Won here just 29 days ago and clearly thrives at this track, though she has never won on standard ground in 12 attempts across all surfaces.
Course specialist (3 wins from 10 here)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Arctic Steps carries the best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 6 races (18% from 17 starts) and boasts the strongest record on today's ground conditions: 2 wins from 4 on normal ground. However, she has not raced in 82 days and finished 8th and 9th in her last two outings before the layoff.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)
Best record at this trip (3 from 10)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Kiss Don't Tell has never won in four career races and runs again just two days after finishing eighth at Cork, which is an aggressive campaign for an unproven three-year-old. One placed finish in four attempts suggests some ability, but the back-to-back quick turnarounds and blank record are significant red flags.
Runs again after just 2 days
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by the weights at 74, but the editorial verdict flags her as a runner who has simply peaked higher—only one win from seven career races and winless in her last four starts. At just three years old and relatively inexperienced, she has yet to prove herself reliable at this level.
Relatively inexperienced (7 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Ballysax Lil' Mick carries the lowest weight in the field (119lbs) but is also one of racing's most struggling journeymen: just one win from 29 career races (3%) after eight years of racing. A 13th-place finish at Naas 53 days ago and 53-day layoff offer no encouragement at 19.0 odds.
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
Data is thin and alarming: a massive 57-length defeat at Fairyhouse just 39 days ago followed by significant absences before that, raising real questions about current fitness and soundness. With just two wins from 15 races and no recent form to build on, this looks a poor proposition at 17.0 odds.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
Lady Landhort ran just two days ago and finished 12th at Cork, which raises serious questions about fitness and readiness despite carrying a lower weight. She has only one win from ten career races and her recent form shows inconsistency, making a quick rebound unlikely at 19.0 odds.
Runs again after just 2 days
TrackLab Insight
Heart Of Eternity has failed to break through in ten career attempts with no wins and just two places, and her recent form is in freefall: 15th, 13th, and 14th in her last three outings at bigger tracks. She represents poor value at 51.0 odds given the downward trajectory.
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Pure Valour is the lowest-rated runner in the field at 47 and has no wins and no places from just four career races. Her most recent run was a 12th-place finish at Fairyhouse 46 days ago in a clearly deteriorating sequence, making her a 61.0 outsider with no compelling reason to back her.
Lowest rated, 16lbs below average
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