U S S Charleston has won roughly 1 in 9 races but shows his best form on standard ground (17% win rate there), which is a slight concern given today's slightly soft conditions—he's never raced on this going. His fourth at Brighton 15 days ago keeps him competitive, and he sits among the more successful horses in this field with two career wins.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
The market favourite at 3.25, Alfa Duplicate finished a nose second at Doncaster 30 days ago and has placed in six of her 13 races, suggesting genuine consistency. She's a racetrack specialist rather than a star, but the tight Doncaster defeat shows she's sharp and competitive right now.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Hanney Girl is a major concern on today's ground: she has zero wins from three tries on slightly soft conditions and her wins came on faster going (2 from 4 on good-to-firm). She hasn't found the winner's circle in six outings and runs just 10 days after finishing fourth at Beverley, but the Tim Easterby yard has a strong record with her jockey.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Big Fun is the editorial choice but carries real risk: he's won just once in seven races and that victory came 13 months ago at Musselburgh. His recent form is poor (6th and 7th in his last two runs), and the odds have drifted wildly from 1.06 to 24.0, suggesting the market has lost faith in his chances here.
Kanishka has won just once from 14 races (roughly 1 in 14) and has never won on good-to-soft ground—a poor sign for today. Recent form is alarming with an 11th at Newbury just a week ago, and the pairing of jockey and trainer is untested together.
Dragon Spin is the lowest-rated horse in the field and carries the least weight, but she's never raced on slightly soft ground before and has zero wins from three tries on standard ground. She did win at Thirsk 67 days ago and has recorded two wins from 12 races, but the 11th-place finish at York just 29 days ago raises questions about her current form.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldNever raced on slightly soft ground
J. Nicholls(3)
·
P. Morris
· 3yo
· 9st 7lb
· OR 76
HeadgearForm
2.2
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Henrythenate boasts the best win rate in this field at roughly 1 in 5 (three wins from 16 races) and has won three times over this five-furlong trip—the strongest record at the distance. However, he's never raced on slightly soft ground before, and a fourth at Chester just 28 days ago shows he's been here recently without winning.
Never raced on slightly soft groundBest record at this trip (3 from 12)Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.