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What Fools Believe

There's something fitting about a horse called What Fools Believe finally making believers out of everyone — because for most of its career so far, the results have given people plenty of reasons for doubt. The three-year-old has won just 1 of its 7 races, a modest return that works out at roughly 1 in every 7 attempts, and recent form figures of 7-5-1-7-8-6 tell a familiar story of inconsistency: one bright moment surrounded by finishes deep in the pack.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Zoustar
Mother
Festive Star
Owner
Alfa Site Services Ltd
Rating
59

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
7
Career races
1
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
14.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That bright moment came at Southwell on 9 April 2026, and it's worth noting where it happened. Southwell is a distinctive all-weather track in Nottinghamshire with a surface that suits certain horses and baffles others entirely — and What Fools Believe found something to like about it. The win came over a distance between a mile and a mile and a quarter, and that range now looks like the sweet spot. Across three races at that trip, the horse has won once, a return of 1 from 3 — or about 1 in 3 — which is a far more encouraging picture than the overall career record suggests.

The trainer is Ivan Furtado, who operates out of Wiseton in South Yorkshire and has sent out 34 winners already this season — a solid, busy yard by any measure. What Fools Believe has so far been running mainly at Class 5, the level just above the very bottom of the sport's ladder, and has yet to win at that grade from four attempts. The single victory actually came at a different classification, which raises a small but genuine question about where the horse fits most comfortably. That's something Furtado will be working out in real time.

At three years old, there is still time for this horse to develop a clearer identity. Right now, What Fools Believe is the kind of horse you'd describe as a work in progress — capable of a decent effort, as that Southwell win proved, but not yet consistent enough to rely on. If Furtado can find the right combination of track, distance, and conditions on a regular basis, there may be more wins to come. For now, one from seven is the honest summary of where things stand.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 33% win rate

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 May
7th
Beverley
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
25 Apr
5th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 5 runners
9 Apr
🏆 Won
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners
19 Feb
7th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners
18 Dec
8th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
5 Dec
6th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
22 Nov
6th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
David Nolan Current Jockey
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 25 Apr 33.3%
Newcastle
Galloping
3 3 other 19 Feb 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 12 May 0%