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Watch The Weather

Watch The Weather is a ten-year-old who has spent nearly a decade knocking on doors without quite breaking through. Over 42 races, the horse has managed just five wins and fifteen places — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 8 races — which tells you this is a genuine journeyman, the type that keeps turning up because there is always a race somewhere it might suit. The most recent run, just a day ago, ended in third place, and looking back over the last six outings there is a pattern of near-misses and mid-field finishes: a pair of thirds, a fifth, an eleventh, a second, and a sixth. It has not won in half a year.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
10 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kayf Tara
Mother
Tinker's Burrow
Trainer
Owner
Sean Connors
Rating
122

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
42
Career races
5
Wins
11.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes Watch The Weather worth watching, though, is what happens when the ground softens. On slightly wet or muddy conditions, the horse becomes a different proposition entirely — it wins 2 races from every 7 attempts on such ground (29%), which is more than double its overall rate. Even more striking is what happens at Wexford, where the horse has found the track to its liking, winning 2 of 6 races there. The trainer R P Cody, based in Dunnamaggin in County Kilkenny, clearly sees something in this old campaigner: it is still being run regularly, and the yard itself has had a productive season.

The real story, though, belongs to Rachael Blackmore, the champion jockey who has ridden Watch The Weather nine times and won three of those races — a 33% win rate that is nearly triple the horse's overall record. That kind of partnership does not happen by accident. Blackmore has the skill to get the best from an aging horse on the right ground at the right track, and her presence in the saddle is genuinely worth noting. With last winning at Punchestown back in November 2024, Watch The Weather is overdue, but on a soft day at Wexford with Blackmore aboard, it could yet remind people why this old horse keeps showing up.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 1 wins from 17 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts
Struggles on RH Tight tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Soft (muddy)
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Aug
3rd
Tramore
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
2 Aug
3rd
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
3 Jul
5th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
25 May
11th
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 19 runners
11 May
2nd
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 15 runners
10 Apr
6th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 17 runners
19 Oct
8th
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 16 runners
4 Oct
3rd
Gowran Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 11 runners
27 Sep
8th
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 13 runners
23 Aug
5th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 15 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
3/9
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
Paddy Hanlon
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Jack Foley
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Eoin Staples
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Carl Millar
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Paddy Cody Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Gillian Cody
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Wexford
Sharp
6 2 wins, 2 thirds, 2 other 3 Jul 33.3%
Punchestown
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 23 Nov 25%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
4 1 second, 3 other 25 May 0%
Cork
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 3 Nov 33.3%
Listowel
Sharp
3 3 other 27 Sep 0%
Galway
Tight
3 1 third, 2 other 2 Aug 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
3 3 other 4 Dec 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 6 Jul 50%
Limerick
Galloping
2 2 other 19 Oct 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
2 2 other 6 Sep 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 11 May 0%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 third 16 Aug 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Aug 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 second 5 Nov 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 third 4 Oct 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Oct 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 third 7 Nov 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Jul 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
1 1 second 26 Aug 0%