Watch The Weather

What does stand out is how well this horse performs in the wet. On soft, slightly soggy ground, Watch The Weather has won 2 from 7 races — that's a 29% win rate, nearly 1 in every 3 starts when conditions suit. For context, its overall win rate is less than half that. When the ground is testing, this horse becomes a different proposition entirely. The same pattern shows up at Wexford, where it has won 2 of its 5 visits. Two wins from five at any single track is the kind of record that makes you pay attention when the entries go up — it suggests the horse genuinely likes something about the place, whether the shape of the track, the ground they tend to get there, or simply the travelling distance from R P Cody's yard in Dunnamaggin, Co Kilkenny.

Speaking of Cody's yard — they've sent out 6 winners already this season, so there's form in the stable and horses leaving the yard in good nick. When Rachael Blackmore has been in the saddle, the results have been genuinely impressive: 3 wins from 9 races together, which works out at 33%, or roughly 1 in every 3. That's a pairing worth noting. Blackmore is one of the most celebrated jump jockeys in the sport, and the fact that Watch The Weather has hit the target at that rate with her aboard suggests the horse responds to a confident, high-quality partner.

Raced just yesterday and still active, this is a horse very much in training and in the mix. The winless run now stretches to six, but the profile — soft ground, Wexford, Blackmore in the saddle — tells you there are still days when Watch The Weather is worth keeping a close eye on.