They All Know Me

The recent form tells an interesting story. Reading from the most recent run backwards: a win, then two eighths, then a second, then back-to-back thirds. That's a horse that was knocking on the door in the spring, seemed to lose its way briefly, and then came back to deliver. Whether Carlisle suited it particularly well, or whether something just clicked on the day, is hard to say — but the yard will know more than most. Richard and Peter Fahey operate out of Musley Bank in North Yorkshire, a serious professional outfit that has already sent out 9 winners this season. When a yard is in that kind of form, it tends to rub off on the horses around it.

The one wrinkle worth noting is that They All Know Me has struggled at the class level it most often competes at — Class 5 races, which sit in the lower half of the racing pyramid. It has run four times at that level without winning, which made Monday's victory all the more satisfying when it finally arrived. At 11% overall — roughly 1 win from every 9 races — it is not what you would call a serial winner, but a horse that places as consistently as this one is clearly competitive and clearly honest. The question now is whether Carlisle was a turning point or just a good day. Given how close it has been running lately, there is every reason to think this particular horse has more to say for itself.