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Tarlac

There is a story worth telling behind Tarlac, even if the bare numbers don't immediately shout it. One win from 21 races — that's a win rate of just 5%, or roughly 1 in every 20 attempts — would make most casual observers shrug and move on. But context matters enormously in racing, and Tarlac's journey to that single victory is more interesting than the statistic suggests.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Pinatubo
Mother
Sharja Queen
Owner
Ursa Major Racing Ltd And Partner
Rating
51

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
21
Career races
1
Wins
4.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
9.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

He arrived at trainer Katie Scott's yard in Galashiels, in the Scottish Borders, as a castoff from a much grander world. He had previously been trained by Kevin Ryan and owned by Sheikh Obaid — one of the sport's most prominent owners — and came to Scott's smaller operation having picked up some habits that needed unpicking. Specifically, he'd been going around the track the wrong way, which in racing terms means he'd been running clockwise rather than the standard direction, and it took real work to straighten that out.

Once settled, he started to show something. A placed finish at Hamilton came first, and then on 29 May 2025 he won at Ripon — his one and only career victory to date. Since then, however, the results have been harder to read. His last six finishes read 7-7-8-5-6-7, which is a sequence of near-misses and also-rans. His most recent outing at Ayr came on very wet, muddy ground, and Scott points to that as a genuine excuse — Tarlac, it seems, is a horse who needs better conditions underfoot, and the heavy surface simply found him out physically. He was weak on it, plain and simple.

What gives Tarlac's story a forward-looking angle is how his trainer speaks about him. Scott's yard has sent out 17 winners this season, so this is not an operation that talks up horses that haven't earned it. The fact that she describes him as "a really nice horse" and says the team are genuinely excited about what the autumn might bring — the backend of the season, when competition thins out — suggests there may be more to come. At Class 5 level, which is the entry point of competitive racing in Britain, he has won 1 from 9 races (11%), and with the ground likely to dry up and firm conditions returning, the hope is that Tarlac at his best is still ahead of us.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 12 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Jun
7th
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Soft · 10 runners
28 May
7th
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
15 May
8th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
5 May
5th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
8 Apr
6th
Catterick Bridge
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
21 Mar
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
22 Sep
6th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Soft · 9 runners
11 Sep
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
20 Aug
4th
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
2 Aug
9th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Alfie Redman(3)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Greg Fairley Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Jake Dickson(7)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Kyle McHugh(7)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Hamilton Park
Sharp
4 1 second, 3 other 15 May 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
4 4 other 21 Mar 0%
Ayr
Galloping
3 3 other 5 May 0%
Ripon
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 28 May 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 other 2 Aug 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
2 2 other 8 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Mar 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Apr 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 16 May 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Aug 0%