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Sullivan Bay

Sullivan Bay is a six-year-old who has carved out a quietly respectable career across 29 races, picking up 2 wins and 9 places along the way. That works out to a win rate of around 1 in every 14 races, which on the face of it sounds modest — but the full picture is more interesting than the bare numbers suggest.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Australia
Mother
Chatting
Owner
Affiliate Racing Ltd
Rating
54

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
29
Career races
2
Wins
6.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
31.0%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The key to understanding Sullivan Bay is one word: Chelmsford. Of those 2 career wins, both have come at that track, from 9 races there in total. Winning 2 from 9 at a single venue — roughly 1 in every 4 and a half races — is a meaningful pattern. Most horses show no particular preference for one course over another, so when one consistently performs at a specific track, it tells you something real. Whether it's the surface, the tight turns, or simply the distance it gets to race there, Chelmsford brings out the best in Sullivan Bay. The most recent win came on 26 October 2024, which is now 18 months ago, and the horse hasn't won since — but with 9 Chelmsford appearances already on the card, the team at Jim and Suzi Best's yard in Lewes will know exactly where to point it when they want a result.

Sullivan Bay does its best work on normal ground and at distances between a mile and six furlongs and two miles — slightly longer than average, which suits horses with stamina rather than pure speed. On normal conditions, it has won 2 of 13 races, or roughly 1 in 6 — a noticeably better record than its overall numbers might suggest. Jim and Suzi Best have sent out 15 winners this season, so the yard is in decent form, and Sullivan Bay competes mainly at Class 6 level, the entry level of British racing, where it has won 2 of its 14 races there.

Recent form has been patchy — 10th, 7th, 2nd, a non-run, 4th, and 10th in its last six outings — and jockey Brendan Powell, who has ridden it five times, is still looking for that first win together. Sullivan Bay raced just yesterday, so it is very much in active training. The second place in that recent sequence is a reminder that the ability is still there. It just needs the right day, the right ground — and, most likely, another trip to Chelmsford.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 13 starts (15%)
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 11% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Apr
10th
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 11 runners
4 Apr
7th
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
27 Mar
2nd
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
26 Feb
DNF
chelmsford
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 9 runners
29 Jan
4th
chelmsford
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 8 runners
25 Jun
10th
Kempton Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners
5 Jun
5th
chelmsford
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 7 runners
22 May
3rd
chelmsford
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 5 runners
23 Feb
DNF
hereford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
11 Jan
3rd
chelmsford
1m6f – 2m · Standard_To_Slow · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
chelmsford 9 2 wins, 4 thirds, 3 other 26 Feb 22.2%
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 3 other 25 Jun 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 2 other 2 Apr 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
2 2 other 17 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 28 Apr 0%
hereford 2 2 other 23 Feb 0%
Fontwell Park
Tight
2 2 other 12 Jun 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 27 Mar 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Jul 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 9 Jun 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 13 May 0%
Plumpton
Sharp
1 1 second 2 Dec 0%