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Secret Guest

Five wins from 44 races tells you exactly what kind of horse Secret Guest is — a reliable, consistent performer who turns up week after week without quite threatening the top of the market. That 11% win rate, roughly 1 win in every 9 races, is modest on paper, but the 20 placed finishes alongside those five wins paint a more flattering picture: this is a horse that competes, finishes in the frame, and earns its keep. At six years old, it is in the prime of its racing life.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Havana Grey
Mother
Lady Macduff
Owner
P Chettle And B Smart
Rating
78

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
44
Career races
5
Wins
11.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
45.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The most interesting thing about Secret Guest is the ground. On normal conditions, it has won 4 of its 15 races — that is better than 1 in 4, a win rate that would make many trainers very happy indeed. Take it off that surface and the form dips sharply, which tells you the team at Bryan Smart's yard in Sutton Bank, North Yorkshire, will be watching the weather forecast carefully before committing to any entry. Smart has had a productive season with 19 winners sent out, so Secret Guest is part of a genuinely active and well-organised operation.

The class question is where things get complicated. Secret Guest has run 15 times at Class 3 level — one step below the very best races in Britain — and has not won once. Not a single victory from 15 attempts. That is a significant pattern rather than a coincidence, and it suggests the horse may simply find that level a fraction too demanding on a consistent basis. The five career wins have come elsewhere, at tracks and in races where the opposition has been a little more forgiving.

Paul Mulrennan has been in the saddle for 11 of those races together and won just once, roughly 1 in every 11 rides — which reflects the horse's overall profile rather than any particular chemistry or lack of it between the two. The last win came at Thirsk in May 2025, over 13 months ago now, and recent form — finishing fifth, sixth, eighth, fifth, twelfth, and second across the last six races — suggests the winning feeling has become harder to find. That second place, buried a few runs back, is the flicker that will keep the yard hopeful. Secret Guest raced just yesterday and is very much still in training, which means the next opportunity is never far away.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 4 wins from 15 starts (27%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Yet to win at Southwell in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 May
5th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 15 runners
8 May
6th
Chester
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
8 Apr
8th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
19 Mar
5th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 7 runners
20 Feb
12th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
13 Jan
2nd
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 6 runners
1 Jan
6th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
27 Nov
8th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
17 Nov
3rd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
31 Oct
8th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
9.1%
Win rate
1/11
Won / Rode
9.1%
Win rate
1/11
Won / Rode
Graham Lee
40%
Win rate
2/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Zak Wheatley
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
12 1 win, 3 seconds, 1 third, 7 other 19 Mar 8.3%
Thirsk
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 6 Sep 16.7%
Southwell
Galloping
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 20 Feb 0%
Ripon
Sharp
4 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 16 Aug 0%
Redcar
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 third 10 Aug 33.3%
York
Galloping
3 3 other 14 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 20 May 50%
Carlisle
Undulating
2 2 thirds 31 Aug 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 win 2 Jul 100%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Aug 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 17 May 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Apr 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 third 7 Jun 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 8 May 0%