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Sceptic

There is something quietly admirable about a horse that just keeps turning up. Sceptic, a six-year-old trained by Ian Williams at his yard in Portway, Worcestershire, has now run 34 times in his career, winning 5 of those races and picking up a place in 8 more. That works out at roughly 1 win in every 7 races — not a horse that overwhelms you with statistics, but one that earns its keep and keeps coming back for more.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
No Nay Never
Mother
Aljaazya
Owner
Ian Williams
Rating
56

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
34
Career races
5
Wins
14.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
23.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The most recent chapter is the most compelling. Sceptic won at Kempton Park just this week, and his last six runs read 1-2-5-4-–-7 — meaning he has finished first or second in two of his last three completed races. That is the form of a horse hitting a purple patch. He had been in and around the prizes without quite getting there, and then he delivered when it mattered.

The distance range that suits him best tells you something useful. Over seven furlongs to a mile, Sceptic has won 2 of his 8 races — a win rate of 25%, which is 1 in every 4 attempts. That is meaningfully better than his overall record and suggests he is a horse who wants enough time to warm into a race but not so long that the stamina question becomes uncomfortable. Get the conditions right and he is a genuinely competitive animal at his level.

That level is important context. Sceptic typically races in Class 6 company, which is the entry-level tier of British racing — the bread-and-butter races that fill midweek cards and make the sport go round. At that level he has won 2 from 9, a 22% win rate, or roughly 1 in every 4 and a half races. That is a solid return. His first career win came at Lingfield Park back in March 2023, so he has been a consistent presence on the circuit for over three years now.

Ian Williams has had a productive season, sending out 96 winners, which marks his yard as one of the more active and successful operations in the country. For a Class 6 horse to come out of that environment and be winning races in May 2026 with the form he is currently showing suggests everything is clicking nicely. Sceptic may not be a horse that wins major prizes, but he is in form, he is fit, and he clearly has not read the script about knowing when to slow down.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
6 May
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
18 Apr
2nd
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
30 Mar
5th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
20 Mar
4th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
28 Feb
DNF
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 31 runners
17 Feb
7th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · 10 runners
4 Feb
12th
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners
25 Nov
DNF
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners
20 Nov
4th
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 14 runners
2 Sep
🏆 Won
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
Ryan Kavanagh
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr James Hills
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
9 2 wins, 7 other 30 Mar 22.2%
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 6 May 33.3%
Southwell
Galloping
3 3 other 28 Feb 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 23 Jun 50%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 20 Nov 50%
Leicester
Sharp
2 2 other 17 Jul 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 23 May 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 12 Aug 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 27 May 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 12 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Oct 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Jan 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Jun 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 second 18 Apr 0%
Fakenham
Tight
1 1 other 15 Mar 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Jul 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Sep 0%