Renesmee

The place to start is Chelmsford. In just 4 races at the Essex track, Renesmee has won twice — that's a win rate of 50%, which is a remarkable return for any horse at any venue. For context, even the best horses in training don't win half their races anywhere. Her most recent victory came there just two months ago, in March 2026, and with current form reading 2-5-2-3-1-3 from her last six outings, she is clearly in a good moment right now. She raced just yesterday, which tells you the team at Michael Keady's Newmarket yard are keeping her busy while the opportunities are there.

The Keady yard has been in fine fettle this season — 16 winners sent out already — and Renesmee fits the profile of a horse a confident stable will keep pointing at races they believe she can win. Her favourite trips are between a mile-and-one-furlong and a mile-and-two, and across 23 races at those distances she has won 5 of them, a win rate of 22%, or roughly 1 in every 5. That is noticeably better than her overall record and suggests she is a horse with a very clear sweet spot that her team have identified and are targeting deliberately.

She goes best on normal ground conditions, winning 2 of her 10 races in those circumstances, and most of her career has been spent at Class 5 level — the bread-and-butter tier of British racing, several steps below the big prizes. Her 3 wins from 28 races at that level (11%, or about 1 in 9) show she is competitive without being dominant, which is exactly what you'd expect from a horse who has earned her reputation through consistency and course knowledge rather than raw brilliance. When jockey Kyle McHugh is in the saddle, the numbers sharpen noticeably: 3 wins from just 7 rides together is a win rate of 43%, nearly 1 in every 2 races. That combination is worth watching whenever Chelmsford comes around again.