Provision
Provision had to wait eight races for a first taste of victory, but when it finally came this week at Worcester, it was worth the patience. The four-year-old broke its duck on 22 July over two miles on the Worcestershire course, and that single win from nine races tells the story of a horse that has been knocking on the door for months. Six of those nine outings have ended in a place — finishing in the frame in two-thirds of its races — but it has taken time to convert that consistency into a win.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
66.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
The horse shows a clear preference for distance, thriving when races stretch beyond two miles. Over that trip, Provision has won 1 from 3 races, a 33% win rate that stands in sharp contrast to its overall record. Worcester appears to be the place where things click: it is where Provision registered its breakthrough and where it seems most comfortable. What is more interesting is that the horse remains active and in racing form, having competed as recently as yesterday. Recent form reads 1-3-3-3-8-5 across the last six outings, which shows encouraging consistency even before that overdue first win. The three consecutive third-place finishes in the middle of that run suggest Provision was building towards something, and the Worcester victory has proved it has what it takes to finish first. At Class 5 level, however, the horse has yet to land a win from three attempts, which hints that stepping up in quality remains a challenge. For now, Provision is a horse finally living up to the promise that six earlier places hinted at, and that Worcester success may be the breakthrough that changes its whole trajectory.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
22 Jul
🏆 Won
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
17 Jun
3rd
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
11 May
3rd
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
15 Apr
3rd
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 8 runners
25 Mar
8th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 8 runners
27 Dec
5th
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
14 Oct
3rd
Newcastle
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 8 runners
25 Sep
3rd
Newcastle
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 5 runners
9 Sep
5th
Carlisle
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Isabelle Ryder Current Jockey
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| Worcester Galloping |
2 |
1 win, 1 third |
22 Jul |
50% |
| Southwell Galloping |
2 |
2 thirds |
11 May |
0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
2 |
2 thirds |
14 Oct |
0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
27 Dec |
0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
25 Mar |
0% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
9 Sep |
0% |