Penfolds Grange
Penfolds Grange has had a long road to his first win, but when it finally came at Wolverhampton in November 2024, it was worth the wait. The 4-year-old broke his duck after 16 unsuccessful races, claiming victory at odds that suggested few people expected him to do it. Since that breakthrough, though, progress has stalled. He has not won again in the 21 months that followed, though he has picked up six places from his last six races — a sign he is still competitive enough to finish in the money, even if he cannot quite get over the line.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
35.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
Mark Pattinson's yard at Epsom has had a modest season, with five winners so far, and Penfolds Grange represents the kind of horse that keeps smaller operations running: reliable enough to place regularly, but unlikely to land the big paydays. He performs best at distances between one mile one furlong and one mile two furlongs, winning one of 11 races (roughly 9%) at that trip, though he has won just once overall from 17 starts. When stepped up to Class 5 — the higher end of competitive racing — he has drawn a blank, failing to win from six attempts. Still active after racing just a day ago, he remains a consistent middle-distance plodder who will continue to chip away at places, even if another victory looks some way off.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 9% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Kempton Park in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Aug
7th
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners
16 Jul
9th
Epsom Downs
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
27 May
3rd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
28 Apr
6th
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 10 runners
1 Apr
2nd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
25 Feb
DNF
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners
29 Jan
4th
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 9 runners
11 Dec
5th
chelmsford
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
23 Oct
5th
chelmsford
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
1 Oct
11th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Alfie Redman(5) Current Jockey
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| Kempton Park Galloping |
5 |
1 second, 2 thirds, 2 other |
27 May |
0% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
3 |
1 win, 1 third, 1 other |
31 Jul |
33.3% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
3 |
3 other |
4 Aug |
0% |
| chelmsford |
2 |
2 other |
11 Dec |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
20 Jul |
0% |
| Chester Tight |
1 |
1 third |
13 Jun |
0% |
| Sandown Park Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
25 Apr |
0% |
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
16 Jul |
0% |