Menzies

The recent form reading 6-3-1-5 — that's the last four races, most recent first — is a little uneven on the surface, but the 1 in the middle of that sequence is the win at Kempton, and the third place alongside it shows Menzies spending time near the sharp end. The sixth and fifth are worth keeping in context: four races is a tiny sample for a three-year-old, and the fact that Harry Eustace's yard has sent out 23 winners already this season suggests Menzies is being prepared and aimed carefully rather than simply making up the numbers.

Eustace trains out of Newmarket, the heartland of British flat racing, and 23 winners in a season is a meaningful tally — this is a yard in form, which gives Menzies a useful wind behind it. Having raced just one day ago, this horse is clearly being kept active, and with a 25% win rate from a small sample, there is every reason to think the Kempton success won't be the last time Menzies visits the winner's enclosure.