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Kesta

There is a version of Kesta that has looked genuinely impressive this season, and then there is the version that turns up week after week at the level she is expected to win at and comes away empty-handed. Understanding which one shows up — and why — is what makes her an interesting horse to follow right now.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Kessaar
Mother
Owner
Mrs Tina Larcombe
Rating
82

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
13
Career races
3
Wins
23.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
61.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Tomorrow
Windsor
About 6 furlongs · Mostly firm ground · 16 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The headline number is decent: 3 wins and 8 places from 13 races, a win rate of roughly 1 in 4 (23%), which for a three-year-old still finding her way through her first full season is perfectly respectable. Her first win came at Brighton in April 2025, and she has added two more since. But the really striking result on her record is a Class 2 win at Nottingham in October — one of the better races in Britain at that level, and the kind of occasion that separates horses with a ceiling from those without one. On that day, she looked like something special.

The puzzle is what happens the rest of the time. In six attempts at Class 4 — the bread-and-butter level where she would be expected to be competitive — she has not won once. Zero from six. That is a strange inversion: better in the bigger races, quieter when things should be easier. It might be that she is the sort of horse who responds to a genuine test and needs quality opposition to bring out her best. It might be that the Class 4 fields she has faced have simply been awkward matchups. Either way, it is the kind of quirk that makes her worth watching rather than writing off.

Her most regular partner in the saddle is Charles Bishop, who has ridden her seven times and won twice — a win rate of 29%, or just under 1 in 3, which is a solid return and suggests the partnership works. Eve Johnson Houghton trains her from Blewbury in Oxfordshire, a yard that has been in excellent form this season with 42 winners on the board. That is a team hitting their stride, and Kesta has been part of it. She raced just yesterday, so she is clearly fit and active, and with her recent run of 1-3-3-3 suggesting she is running well without always winning, the next win may not be far away — particularly if the yard find her another big occasion to rise to.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 May
11th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
25 Oct
6th
Newbury
5f – 6½f · Soft · 7 runners
2 Oct
🏆 Won
Nottingham
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
23 Aug
3rd
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
18 Aug
3rd
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
30 Jul
3rd
Sandown Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 5 runners
14 Jul
🏆 Won
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 4 runners
4 Jul
2nd
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 5 runners
10 Jun
10th
Salisbury
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
24 May
6th
Salisbury
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
28.6%
Win rate
2/7
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Oliver Carmichael
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Windsor
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 third 18 Aug 50%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 2 May 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
2 2 other 10 Jun 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 win 2 Oct 100%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 win 12 Apr 100%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 third 30 Jul 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 second 1 Apr 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 second 4 Jul 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Oct 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 2 May 0%