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Kelpie Grey

There is something endearing about a horse that refuses to take the easy road, and Kelpie Grey fits that description almost too well. The six-year-old trained by Jim Goldie at his yard in Uplawmoor, Lanarkshire, has built a career record of 4 wins and 11 places from 30 races — winning roughly 1 in every 7 — and has been raced just one day ago, meaning this is a horse very much in the thick of things. Most of his action comes at Class 4 level, the bread and butter of the British racing calendar, where he has won just 1 from 15 races at that grade. That seven per cent win rate at his most common level tells you this is a horse who finds things competitive, but the broader picture is more interesting than that single number suggests.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Havana Grey
Mother
Malelane
Trainer
Owner
Paul Stewart
Rating
69

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
30
Career races
4
Wins
13.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Look closer and patterns emerge. On normal ground, Kelpie Grey wins 2 from every 10 races — twice a season, reliably. At the distance sweet spot of seven furlongs to a mile, he has won 3 from 14 races, better than 1 in 5. And at Musselburgh, the tight, flat track on the Firth of Forth, he has won 2 from just 6 visits — a record that marks him out as a genuine course specialist. Winning a third of your races at any track takes either talent, or a horse that simply suits the place. Possibly both.

His most consistent partner in the saddle has been Paul Mulrennan, who has ridden him to 3 wins from 15 races together — 20%, or 1 in every 5 rides. That is a meaningfully better return than his overall career average, suggesting the combination works. His last win came at Ayr in May 2024, now 25 months ago, and the six races since have produced nothing better than fifth. A winless run of that length would worry most, but Goldie has offered a straightforward explanation: the horse gave himself a stress fracture, required surgery to pin it, and is working his way back to fitness.

What Goldie said about him in a stable tour is genuinely illuminating. This is not a relaxed, economical type — he goes flat out and burns himself up. The trainer calls him an improving, athletic horse who is hard to catch when conditions suit, but vulnerable on fast ground. He likes some cut — wet or softer going — and when that arrives, Goldie reckons he will be "tasty." For a horse who has been off the winning mark for over two years, those are bold words. But with the right ground underfoot and Musselburgh on the horizon, the conditions for a return to form are not as far away as the calendar might suggest.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 10 starts (20%)
Excellent record on heavy ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 21% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
5F – 6½F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
20 May
5th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
12 Apr
6th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners
5 Nov
5th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Soft · 10 runners
25 Oct
15th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Heavy · 15 runners
9 Oct
7th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 11 runners
30 Sep
5th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Soft · 10 runners
20 Sep
9th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Soft · 14 runners
19 Sep
6th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Soft · 25 runners
18 Aug
2nd
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
9 Aug
3rd
Ayr
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Paul Mulrennan Current Jockey
20%
Win rate
3/15
Won / Rode
Amie Waugh
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Shannon Watts
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Rhys Elliott
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ayr
Galloping
14 2 wins, 4 seconds, 2 thirds, 6 other 20 May 14.3%
Musselburgh
Sharp
6 2 wins, 4 other 12 Apr 33.3%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 6 Jun 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
2 2 other 21 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Sep 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Jul 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Nov 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Oct 0%