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Jamaican Storm

Jamaican Storm is a 4-year-old who took a long time to find the winner's enclosure, but when the moment finally came — at Newcastle on 27 March — it felt well earned. One win from 19 races tells you this is a horse that has spent most of its career finishing just behind the action rather than leading it, but eight place finishes along the way suggest it has rarely been disgraced either. It shows up, it competes, it just hasn't done it often enough at the sharp end.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Havana Grey
Mother
Morant Bay
Owner
B Smart
Rating
65

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
19
Career races
1
Wins
5.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The recent form makes for more interesting reading than the overall record. Looking at the last six races in reverse, the sequence reads 8-3-2-1-4-9 — which means a fairly rough start, a win in the middle, and since then a run of solid efforts with a second and a third in the mix. That is a horse in decent nick right now, not one that has gone backwards after finally breaking its duck.

Bryan Smart's yard at Sutton Bank in North Yorkshire has been in good shape this season, sending out 19 winners, so Jamaican Storm is operating in a stable that clearly knows how to get horses ready to win. Paul Mulrennan has been the regular partner, riding 11 of the 19 races together, and while their combined win rate of 9% — roughly 1 win in every 11 rides — is modest, the familiarity between horse and jockey can count for a lot at this level.

The most telling detail is probably the distance. Over a mile and one to a mile and two furlongs, Jamaican Storm has won 1 from 6 — about 1 in 6 races, which is genuinely its best window. That 17% win rate at that trip dwarfs its overall 5% across all distances, which amounts to just 1 win from 19. The class picture is slightly puzzling, though: most of its races have come at Class 5, the bread-and-butter level, where it has yet to win in 8 attempts. The sole victory came in a different grade entirely, which suggests the yard may still be figuring out exactly where this horse belongs.

Raced just yesterday and still active, Jamaican Storm is a horse in the middle of its story rather than at the end of it.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 17% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Southwell in 6 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 May
9th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
10 Apr
4th
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
27 Mar
🏆 Won
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 9 runners
13 Mar
2nd
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 12 runners
4 Mar
3rd
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 9 runners
20 Feb
8th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
22 Jan
12th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
4 Jan
3rd
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
13 Dec
3rd
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
24 Nov
5th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Paul Mulrennan Current Jockey
9.1%
Win rate
1/11
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
8 1 win, 3 thirds, 4 other 27 Mar 12.5%
Southwell
Galloping
6 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 2 other 7 May 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 10 Apr 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Jul 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Nov 0%