Fallacious Promise
Seven races into its career and Fallacious Promise is still searching for that first win, though the recent form suggests it is getting closer. The three-year-old has finished in the places three times without breaking through, and a look at the most recent runs tells an encouraging story — third, second, second in the last three outings, after struggling earlier in the season with finishes of ninth, fifth, and tenth. That kind of upward curve is exactly what you want to see from a young horse still learning its trade.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
42.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
The frustrating truth is that placing three times from seven races means Fallacious Promise keeps knocking on the door without quite forcing it open. It is not a horse that has gone missing — it has been competitive — but there is a difference between nearly winning and actually winning, and right now it sits firmly in the nearly column. Whether that changes soon may depend on finding the right race at the right moment.
What works in its favour is the yard behind it. John Butler trains out of Newmarket, one of the heartbeats of British racing, and has sent out 39 winners already this season — a healthy total that suggests a well-run, active operation that knows how to get a horse ready to perform. Fallacious Promise raced just yesterday, so it is clearly fit and in a regular routine. Sometimes for a horse on the cusp of a first win, that consistency of racing is exactly what tips things over the line.
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Jun
3rd
Lingfield Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
1 May
2nd
Newcastle
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 8 runners
11 Feb
2nd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
19 Jan
9th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
8 Dec
5th
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
26 Nov
10th
chelmsford
7f – 1m · Standard · 15 runners
28 Oct
9th
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
4 Jun |
0% |
| chelmsford |
1 |
1 other |
26 Nov |
0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
11 Feb |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
28 Oct |
0% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
19 Jan |
0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
1 May |
0% |