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Crimson Road

There is a version of Crimson Road that is genuinely hard to beat — on fast, dry ground, over a mile and three or four furlongs, at Class 4 level, this five-year-old wins 2 from every 9 races in those conditions and has taken both of its career victories at that distance. That is a win rate of 22%, which in racing terms is the difference between a horse that occasionally turns up and one that regularly threatens. The trouble is that conditions have to align just right, and lately they have not.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Masar
Mother
Redhawk
Owner
Rhys Flint
Rating
62

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
22
Career races
2
Wins
9.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
27.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Trained by John and Rhys Flint out of Kenfig Hill in Bridgend — a small yard that has still managed to send out 7 winners this season — Crimson Road has been trying to recapture the form that brought it a win at Lingfield in May 2024 and then another at Newbury in August of the same year. That Newbury success is now 21 months in the past, and the recent run of results makes for uncomfortable reading: in its last six races the horse has not finished higher than fourth, with a ninth and an eighth mixed in. It raced just yesterday, so the team clearly believe there is still something to find.

Overall, the career record reads 2 wins and 6 placed finishes from 22 races — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 11. That is modest, but it disguises something more interesting underneath. At the right distance and on fast ground, the number jumps to 2 wins from 7 races at a mile and three or four furlongs — nearly 1 in 3. This is a horse with a specific set of requirements, not a straightforward one. When those requirements are met it becomes a different animal entirely. At Class 4 — the level it almost always competes at — the record is 2 wins from 15 races, or roughly 1 in 8, which is about what you would expect for this tier.

The question for the Flint yard is whether the dry conditions and the right trip will come together again before the season moves on. Crimson Road is five years old, still active, and clearly in regular work. The ingredients for another win exist — they just need to be in the same place at the same time.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 9 starts (22%)
Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 29% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 May
9th
Windsor
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
5 Apr
5th
Bath
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
8 Dec
8th
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 10 runners
30 Oct
4th
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
16 Oct
6th
Carlisle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
8 Sep
7th
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
20 Jul
7th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
5 Jul
5th
Beverley
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
21 May
7th
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
10 May
8th
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
2/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 2 other 16 Oct 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
2 2 thirds 8 Aug 0%
Redcar
Galloping
2 2 other 20 Jul 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 win 28 May 100%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 win 29 Aug 100%
chelmsford 1 1 third 9 May 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 16 Oct 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 5 Jul 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Mar 0%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 third 19 Oct 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Jul 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 10 May 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 5 Apr 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 7 May 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 21 May 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Dec 0%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Sep 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%